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Three PDRA positions in public health modelling

We are seeking three highly skilled and quantitative researcher to join multiple projects seeking to analyse, model and predict the dynamics of a range of infectious diseases. Ideal candidate would have a strong background in mathematical or statistical modelling of infectious diseases, experience with matching models to data or an understanding of genomics applied to disease transmission.

The application details can be found here on the Warwick website.

The five positions are:

TWO full-time post-doctoral research fellows to work on the NIHR-funded Global Health Research Group “Application of Genomics and Modelling to the Control of Virus Pathogens” GeMVi

You will work on a research programme, funded by the NIHR, aimed at integrating epidemiological and bio-informatics concepts and bringing such modern methodologies to East African researchers. To do this GeMVi will focus on the application of whole genome sequence (WGS) data and predictive models to support intervention decisions. It will extend and enhance the collaboration between University of Warwick and KEMRI Wellcome Trust Research Programme, and create a network of research centres in Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania. Technical advances in the integration of genome sequence data and models of infectious disease transmission will be made.
The technical methods will be developed as the project advances in response to feedback from consultation with public health decision makers and will relate to (a) the priority pathogens, (b) policy questions, (c) data availability and (d) prevailing technical advances and gaps. You will have day-to-day responsibility for the development of novel mathematical and statistical methodologies to bring together predictive epidemiology with bioinformatics approaches.
You will also be expected to help with the research training of East African researchers who wish to develop advanced skills in predictive modelling, helping them to address a range of important public-health policy issues through mathematical and statistical models. As such you will be an integral part of developing the Zeeman Institute into a centre of expertise for integrated mathematical and genomic epidemiology, with meaningful ties to multiple East African Institutes.

The fixed term contract associated with these 2 posts is currently restricted to end on 31.03.21, subject to confirmation of the funding, this might have to be shortened dependent upon the starting salary of the successful candidate.


ONE full-time post-doctoral research fellow to work on the collaborative project VEEPED (Vaccine Efficacy Evaluation for Priority Emerging Diseases). This is part of a larger team in London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Imperial College London and Oxford, working on predictive models of pathogens that pose a high epidemic potential.

The team aims to develop and parameterise a series of transmission dynamic models of priority pathogens that will allow us to simulate different vaccine trials and determine which designs are most likely to be successful. We also intend to use the same models to assess how such vaccines could be used to mitigate outbreaks if licensed products become available. This will inform the policy-making process in outbreak-prone countries and in global health organisations.
We will conduct detailed reviews of the epidemiology of the target diseases that will cover the distribution of outbreak sizes and geographical extent, key transmission routes, relevant pathogenicity and vaccine candidate characteristics (vaccine platform, likely schedule etc). We will conduct a series of analyses on the reviewed and compiled epidemiological data, including estimation of the basic reproduction number and assess factors underlying variation in this (e.g. transmission routes, proportion of infections that are clinically detectable).
Building on these epidemiological analyses, we will construct a suite of stochastic epidemic models that will be fitted to the available data using Bayesian methods. Outbreak scenarios will also be constructed that will cover the plausible range of future epidemiological patterns for the target diseases. These models will be used to simulate various vaccine trial designs. These simulation studies will assess the randomisation units, endpoints and sample size requirements for the different designs and the likelihood of success (i.e. the power to detect efficacy, taking into account the likelihood of extinction of the epidemic). Logistical and ethical issues will also be reviewed and integrated into our assessment of the utility of the different designs. The models will also be used to assess possible post-license study designs and how a licenced product could best complement existing control measures.
Work in Warwick will focus on models of Bubonic Plague and Rift Valley Fever, although there is expected to be strong interaction between all involved groups.

The fixed term contract associated with this post is restricted to end on 31.03.20; this might have to be shortened up to a maximum 12 months depending on the starting salary of the successful candidate.


The successful candidates will be based in the highly successful and expanding Zeeman Institute for Systems Biology and Infectious Disease Epidemiology Research (SBIDER), but will work closely with other researchers within University of Warwick and at our partner institutions. Close working and regular communication between the post holder and the wider team will be crucial to the successful delivery of the research programme.

Initial enquiries should be directed to M.J.Keeling@warwick.ac.uk