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Dr Lloyd Chapman



Research Fellow


Life Sciences
University of Warwick
Tel: +44(0) 24 765 50255 (+44(0) 24 761 51785)

Research Interests

I am a mathematical modeller working as part of the Neglected Tropical Disease Modelling Consortium and the Warwick Infectious Disease Epidemiology Research group. My research is on visceral leishmaniasis - a parasitic vector-borne disease that kills an estimated 20,000-40,000 people worldwide annually. The Indian subcontinent (ISC) has 60% of the global burden of the disease, and the focus of my research is on determining whether current control strategies will be sufficient to eliminate the disease as a public health problem (<1 new case per 10,000 people per year) in the ISC by 2020 (the target set in the 2012 London Declaration on NTDs). The aim of the research is also to predict the most effective strategies (e.g. rapid treatment and vector control) for achieving the elimination target.

My background is in traditional applied mathematics (fluid dynamics, differential equations, asymptotics etc.) and mathematical biology, but I am very interested in applying statistical methods and probabilistic modelling to epidemiological data.


DPhil, Mathematical and Computational Biology, University of Oxford 2015
MMath, Mathematics, University of Oxford 2010

Member, Neglected Tropical Diseases Modelling Consortium
Member, Society of Industrial and Applied Mathematics


  • Cameron, M. M., Acosta-Serrano, Alvaro, Bern, Caryn, Boelaert, Marleen, den Boer, Margriet, Burza, Sakib, Chapman, Lloyd A. C., Chaskopoulou, Alexandra, Coleman, Michael, Courtenay, Orin, Croft, Simon, Das, Pradeep, Dilger, Erin, Foster, Geraldine, Garlapati, Rajesh, Haines, Lee, Harris, Angela, Hemingway, Janet, Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre, Jervis, Sarah, Medley, Graham, Miles, Michael, Paine, Mark, Picado, Albert, Poché, Richard, Ready, Paul, Rogers, Matthew, Rowland, Mark, Sundar, Shyam, de Vlas, Sake J., Weetman, David, 2016. Understanding the transmission dynamics of Leishmania donovani to provide robust evidence for interventions to eliminate visceral leishmaniasis in Bihar, India. Parasites & Vectors, 9 (1), pp. 1-9, View
  • Das, Vidya Nand Ravi, Pandey, Ravindra Nath, Siddiqui, Niyamat Ali, Chapman, Lloyd A. C., Kumar, Vijay, Pandey, Krishna, Matlashewski, Greg, Das, Pradeep, 2016. Longitudinal study of transmission in households with visceral leishmaniasis, asymptomatic infections and PKDL in highly endemic villages in Bihar, India. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 10 (12), View
  • Chapman, Lloyd A. C., Dyson, Louise, Courtenay, Orin, Chowdhury, Rajib, Bern, Caryn, Medley, Graham, Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre, 2015. Quantification of the natural history of visceral leishmaniasis and consequences for control. Parasites & Vectors, 8 (1), pp. 1-13, View

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Research Themes:

Biomedical Science