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Journals


  • Arzt, Jonathan, Branan, Matthew A., Delgado, Amy H., Yadav, Shankar, Moreno-Torres, Karla I., Tildesley, Michael J., Stenfeldt, Carolina. 2019. Quantitative impacts of incubation phase transmission of foot-and-mouth disease virus. Scientific Reports, 9 (1), View
  • Chaiban, Celia, Biscio, Christophe, Thanapongtharm, Weerapong, Tildesley, Michael J., Xiao, Xiangming, Robinson, Timothy P., Vanwambeke, Sophie O., Gilbert, Marius. 2019. Point pattern simulation modelling of extensive and intensive chicken farming in Thailand : accounting for clustering and landscape characteristics. Agricultural Systems, 173, pp. 335-344, View
  • Probert, W. J. M., Lakkur, S., Fonnesbeck, C. J., Shea, K., Runge, M. C., Tildesley, M. J., Ferrari, M. J.. 2019. Context matters: using reinforcement learning to develop human-readable, state-dependent outbreak response policies. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 374 (1776), View
  • Li, Shou-Li, Ferrari, Matthew J., Bjà¸rnstad, Ottar N., Runge, Michael C., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Tildesley, Michael J., Pannell, David, Shea, Katriona. 2019. Concurrent assessment of epidemiological and operational uncertainties for optimal outbreak control : Ebola as a case study. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 286 (1905), View
  • Tildesley, Michael J., Brand, Samuel, Brooks Pollock, E., Bradbury, Naomi, Werkman, Marleen, Keeling, Matthew James. 2019. The role of movement restrictions in limiting the economic impact of livestock infections. Nature Sustainability, 2, pp. 834-840, View
  • Dessavre, Adjani Gama, Southall, Emma, Tildesley, Michael J., Dyson, Louise. 2019. The problem of detrending when analysing potential indicators of disease elimination. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 481, pp. 183-193, View
  • Meadows, Amanda J., Mundt, Christopher C., Keeling, Matthew James, Tildesley, Michael J.. 2018. Disentangling the influence of livestock vs. farm density on livestock disease epidemics. Ecosphere, 9 (7), View
  • Retkute, Renata, Jewell, Chris P., Van Boeckel, Thomas P., Zhang, Geli, Xiao, Xiangming, Thanapongtharme, Weerapong, Keeling, Matthew James, Gilbert, Marius, Tildesley, Michael J.. 2018. Dynamics of the 2004 avian influenza H5N1 outbreak in Thailand : the role of duck farming, sequential model fitting and control. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 159, pp. 171-181, View
  • Sellman, Stefan, Tsao, Kimberly, Tildesley, Michael J., Brommesson, Peter, Webb, Colleen T., Wennergren, Uno, Keeling, Matthew James, Lindström, Tom. 2018. Need for speed : an optimized gridding approach for spatially explicit disease simulations. PLOS Computational Biology, 14 (4), View
  • Beerenwinkel, Niko, Hill, Edward M., House, Thomas, Dhingra, Madhur S., Kalpravidh, Wantanee, Morzaria, Subhash, Osmani, Muzaffar G., Brum, Eric, Yamage, Mat, Kalam, Md. A., Prosser, Diann J., Takekawa, John Y., Xiao, Xiangming, Gilbert, Marius, Tildesley, Michael J.. 2018. The impact of surveillance and control on highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks in poultry in Dhaka division, Bangladesh. PLoS Computational Biology, 14 (9), View
  • Tanaka, Mark M., Sellman, Stefan, Tsao, Kimberly, Tildesley, Michael J., Brommesson, Peter, Webb, Colleen T., Wennergren, Uno, Keeling, Matt J., Lindström, Tom. 2018. Need for speed: An optimized gridding approach for spatially explicit disease simulations. PLoS Computational Biology, 14 (4), View
  • Koelle, Katia, Probert, William J. M., Jewell, Chris P., Werkman, Marleen, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Goto, Yoshitaka, Runge, Michael C., Sekiguchi, Satoshi, Shea, Katriona, Keeling, Matthew James, Ferrari, Matthew J., Tildesley, Michael J.. 2018. Real-time decision-making during emergency disease outbreaks. PLoS Computational Biology, 14 (7), View
  • Hill, Edward M., House, Thomas A., Dhingra, Madhur S., Kalpravidh, Wantanee, Morzaria, Subhash, Osmani, Muzaffar G., Brum, Eric, Yamage, Mat, Kalam, Md. A., Prosser, Diann J., Takekawa, John Y., Xiao, Xiangming, Gilbert, Marius, Tildesley, Michael J.. 2018. The impact of surveillance and control on highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks in poultry in Dhaka division, Bangladesh. PLOS Computational Biology, 14 (9), View
  • Gilbert, Marius, Prosser, Diann J., Zhang, Geli, Artois, Jean, Dhingra, Madhur S., Tildesley, Michael J., Newman, Scott H., Guo, Fusheng, Black, Peter, Claes, Filip, Kalpradvidh, Wantanee, Shin, YeunKyung, Jeong, Wooseog, Takekawa, John Y., Lee, Hansoo, Xiao, Xiangming. 2017. Could changes in the agricultural landscape of northeastern China have influenced the long-distance transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5Nx viruses?. Frontiers In Veterinary Science, 4 (225), View
  • Webb, Colleen, Ferrari, Matthew, Lindstrom, Tom, Carpenter, Tim, Durr, Salome, Garner, Graeme, Jewell, Chris, Stevenson, Mark, Ward, Michael, Werkman, Marleen, Backer, Jantien, Tildesley, Michael J.. 2017. Ensemble modelling and structured decision-making to support emergency disease management. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 138, pp. 124-133, View
  • Li, Shou-Li, Bjà¸rnstad, Ottar N., Ferrari, Matthew J., Mummah, Riley, Runge, Michael C., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Tildesley, Michael J., Probert, William J. M., Shea, Katriona. 2017. Essential information : uncertainty and optimal control of Ebola outbreaks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 114 (22), pp. 5659-5664, View
  • Bradbury, Naomi V., Probert, William J. M., Shea, Katriona, Runge, Michael C., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Keeling, Matthew James, Ferrari, Matthew J., Tildesley, Michael J.. 2017. Quantifying the value of perfect information in emergency vaccination campaigns. PLoS Computational Biology, 13 (2), View
  • Hill, Edward M., Tildesley, Michael J., House, Thomas A.. 2017. Evidence for history-dependence of influenza pandemic emergence. Scientific Reports, 7, View
  • Hill, Edward M., House, Thomas A., Dhingra, Madhur S., Kalpravidh, Wantanee, Morzaria, Subhash, Osmani, Muzaffar G., Yamage, Mat, Xiao, Xiangming, Gilbert, Marius, Tildesley, Michael J.. 2017. Modelling H5N1 in Bangladesh across spatial scales : model complexity and zoonotic transmission risk. Epidemics, 20, pp. 37-55, View
  • Hill, Edward M., Tildesley, Michael J., House, Thomas A.. 2017. How predictable are flu pandemics?. Significance, 14 (6), pp. 28-33, View
  • Probert, William J. M., Shea, Katriona, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Runge, Michael C., Carpenter, Tim E., Dürr, Salome, Garner, M. G. (Michael Graeme), Harvey, Neil, Stevenson, Mark A., Webb, Colleen T., Werkman, Marleen, Tildesley, Michael J., Ferrari, Matthew J.. 2016. Decision-making for foot-and-mouth disease control : objectives matter. Epidemics, 15, pp. 10-19, View
  • Werkman, Marleen, Tildesley, Michael J., Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Keeling, Matthew James. 2016. Preserving privacy whilst maintaining robust epidemiological predictions. Epidemics, 17, pp. 35-41, View
  • Lindström, Tom, Tildesley, Michael J., Webb, Colleen T.. 2015. A bayesian ensemble approach for epidemiological projections. PLoS Computational Biology, 11 (4), View
  • Dawson, Peter Michael, Werkman, Marleen, Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Tildesley, Michael J.. 2015. Epidemic predictions in an imperfect world : modelling disease spread with partial data. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Volume 282 (Number 1808), View
  • Brand, Samuel, Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matthew James. 2015. Rapid simulation of spatial epidemics : a spectral method. Journal of Theoretical Biology, Volume 370, pp. 121-134, View
  • Buhnerkempe, Michael G., Tildesley, Michael J., Lindström, Tom, Grear, Daniel A., Portacci, Katie, Miller, Ryan S., Lombard, Jason E., Werkman, Marleen, Keeling, Matthew James, Wennergren, Uno, Webb, Colleen T.. 2014. The impact of movements and animal density on continental scale cattle disease outbreaks in the United States. PLoS One, Volume 9 (Number 3), View
  • Shea, Katriona, Tildesley, Michael J., Runge, Michael C., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Ferrari, Matthew J.. 2014. Adaptive management and the value of information : learning via intervention in epidemiology. PLoS Biology, 12 (10), View
  • Porphyre, Thibaud, Auty, Harriet K., Tildesley, Michael J., Gunn, George J., Woolhouse, M. E. J., (Mark E. J.). 2013. Vaccination against Foot-and-mouth disease : do initial conditions affect its benefit?. PLOS ONE, Volume 8 (Number 10), View
  • Tildesley, Michael J., Gally, D. L., McNeilly, T. N., Low, J. C., Mahajan, A., Savill, N. J.. 2012. Insights into mucosal innate responses to Escherichia coli O157 : H7 colonization of cattle by mathematical modelling of excretion dynamics. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Vol.9 (No.68), pp. 518-527, View
  • Tildesley, Michael J., Smith, Gary, Keeling, Matthew James. 2012. Modeling the spread and control of foot-and-mouth disease in Pennsylvania following its discovery and options for control. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol.104 (No.3-4), pp. 224-239, View


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