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Journals


  • Arzt, Jonathan, Branan, Matthew A., Delgado, Amy H., Yadav, Shankar, Moreno-Torres, Karla I., Tildesley, Michael J., Stenfeldt, Carolina. 2019. Quantitative impacts of incubation phase transmission of foot-and-mouth disease virus. Scientific Reports, 9 (1), View
  • Dessavre, Adjani Gama, Southall, Emma, Tildesley, Michael J., Dyson, Louise. 2019. The problem of detrending when analysing potential indicators of disease elimination. Journal of Theoretical Biology, View
  • Chaiban, Celia, Biscio, Christophe, Thanapongtharm, Weerapong, Tildesley, Michael J., Xiao, Xiangming, Robinson, Timothy P., Vanwambeke, Sophie O., Gilbert, Marius. 2019. Point pattern simulation modelling of extensive and intensive chicken farming in Thailand : accounting for clustering and landscape characteristics. Agricultural Systems, 173, pp. 335-344, View
  • Li, Shou-Li, Ferrari, Matthew J., Bjà¸rnstad, Ottar N., Runge, Michael C., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Tildesley, Michael J., Pannell, David, Shea, Katriona. 2019. Concurrent assessment of epidemiological and operational uncertainties for optimal outbreak control : Ebola as a case study. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, View
  • Probert, W. J. M., Lakkur, S., Fonnesbeck, C. J., Shea, K., Runge, M. C., Tildesley, M. J., Ferrari, M. J.. 2019. Context matters: using reinforcement learning to develop human-readable, state-dependent outbreak response policies. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 374 (1776), View
  • Meadows, Amanda J., Mundt, Christopher C., Keeling, Matthew James, Tildesley, Michael J.. 2018. Disentangling the influence of livestock vs. farm density on livestock disease epidemics. Ecosphere, 9 (7), View
  • Retkute, Renata, Jewell, Chris P., Van Boeckel, Thomas P., Zhang, Geli, Xiao, Xiangming, Thanapongtharme, Weerapong, Keeling, Matthew James, Gilbert, Marius, Tildesley, Michael J.. 2018. Dynamics of the 2004 avian influenza H5N1 outbreak in Thailand : the role of duck farming, sequential model fitting and control. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 159, pp. 171-181, View
  • Hill, Edward M., House, Thomas A., Dhingra, Madhur S., Kalpravidh, Wantanee, Morzaria, Subhash, Osmani, Muzaffar G., Brum, Eric, Yamage, Mat, Kalam, Md. A., Prosser, Diann J., Takekawa, John Y., Xiao, Xiangming, Gilbert, Marius, Tildesley, Michael J.. 2018. The impact of surveillance and control on highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks in poultry in Dhaka division, Bangladesh. PLOS Computational Biology, 14 (9), View
  • Koelle, Katia, Probert, William J. M., Jewell, Chris P., Werkman, Marleen, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Goto, Yoshitaka, Runge, Michael C., Sekiguchi, Satoshi, Shea, Katriona, Keeling, Matthew James, Ferrari, Matthew J., Tildesley, Michael J.. 2018. Real-time decision-making during emergency disease outbreaks. PLoS Computational Biology, 14 (7), View
  • Sellman, Stefan, Tsao, Kimberly, Tildesley, Michael J., Brommesson, Peter, Webb, Colleen T., Wennergren, Uno, Keeling, Matthew James, Lindström, Tom. 2018. Need for speed : an optimized gridding approach for spatially explicit disease simulations. PLOS Computational Biology, 14 (4), View
  • Gilbert, Marius, Prosser, Diann J., Zhang, Geli, Artois, Jean, Dhingra, Madhur S., Tildesley, Michael J., Newman, Scott H., Guo, Fusheng, Black, Peter, Claes, Filip, Kalpradvidh, Wantanee, Shin, YeunKyung, Jeong, Wooseog, Takekawa, John Y., Lee, Hansoo, Xiao, Xiangming. 2017. Could changes in the agricultural landscape of northeastern China have influenced the long-distance transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5Nx viruses?. Frontiers In Veterinary Science, 4 (225), View
  • Webb, Colleen, Ferrari, Matthew, Lindstrom, Tom, Carpenter, Tim, Durr, Salome, Garner, Graeme, Jewell, Chris, Stevenson, Mark, Ward, Michael, Werkman, Marleen, Backer, Jantien, Tildesley, Michael J.. 2017. Ensemble modelling and structured decision-making to support emergency disease management. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 138, pp. 124-133, View
  • Hill, Edward M., Tildesley, Michael J., House, Thomas A.. 2017. Evidence for history-dependence of influenza pandemic emergence. Scientific Reports, 7, View
  • Hill, Edward M., House, Thomas A., Dhingra, Madhur S., Kalpravidh, Wantanee, Morzaria, Subhash, Osmani, Muzaffar G., Yamage, Mat, Xiao, Xiangming, Gilbert, Marius, Tildesley, Michael J.. 2017. Modelling H5N1 in Bangladesh across spatial scales : model complexity and zoonotic transmission risk. Epidemics, 20, pp. 37-55, View
  • Hill, Edward M., Tildesley, Michael J., House, Thomas A.. 2017. How predictable are flu pandemics?. Significance, 14 (6), pp. 28-33, View
  • Bradbury, Naomi V., Probert, William J. M., Shea, Katriona, Runge, Michael C., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Keeling, Matthew James, Ferrari, Matthew J., Tildesley, Michael J.. 2017. Quantifying the value of perfect information in emergency vaccination campaigns. PLoS Computational Biology, 13 (2), View
  • Li, Shou-Li, Bjà¸rnstad, Ottar N., Ferrari, Matthew J., Mummah, Riley, Runge, Michael C., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Tildesley, Michael J., Probert, William J. M., Shea, Katriona. 2017. Essential information : uncertainty and optimal control of Ebola outbreaks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 114 (22), pp. 5659-5664, View
  • Probert, William J. M., Shea, Katriona, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Runge, Michael C., Carpenter, Tim E., Dürr, Salome, Garner, M. G. (Michael Graeme), Harvey, Neil, Stevenson, Mark A., Webb, Colleen T., Werkman, Marleen, Tildesley, Michael J., Ferrari, Matthew J.. 2016. Decision-making for foot-and-mouth disease control : objectives matter. Epidemics, 15, pp. 10-19, View
  • Werkman, Marleen, Tildesley, Michael J., Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Keeling, Matthew James. 2016. Preserving privacy whilst maintaining robust epidemiological predictions. Epidemics, 17, pp. 35-41, View
  • Lindström, Tom, Tildesley, Michael J., Webb, Colleen T.. 2015. A bayesian ensemble approach for epidemiological projections. PLoS Computational Biology, 11 (4), View
  • Dawson, Peter Michael, Werkman, Marleen, Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Tildesley, Michael J.. 2015. Epidemic predictions in an imperfect world : modelling disease spread with partial data. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Volume 282 (Number 1808), View
  • Brand, Samuel, Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matthew James. 2015. Rapid simulation of spatial epidemics : a spectral method. Journal of Theoretical Biology, Volume 370, pp. 121-134, View
  • Buhnerkempe, Michael G., Tildesley, Michael J., Lindström, Tom, Grear, Daniel A., Portacci, Katie, Miller, Ryan S., Lombard, Jason E., Werkman, Marleen, Keeling, Matthew James, Wennergren, Uno, Webb, Colleen T.. 2014. The impact of movements and animal density on continental scale cattle disease outbreaks in the United States. PLoS One, Volume 9 (Number 3), View
  • Shea, Katriona, Tildesley, Michael J., Runge, Michael C., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Ferrari, Matthew J.. 2014. Adaptive management and the value of information : learning via intervention in epidemiology. PLoS Biology, 12 (10), View
  • Porphyre, Thibaud, Auty, Harriet K., Tildesley, Michael J., Gunn, George J., Woolhouse, M. E. J., (Mark E. J.). 2013. Vaccination against Foot-and-mouth disease : do initial conditions affect its benefit?. PLOS ONE, Volume 8 (Number 10), View
  • Tildesley, Michael J., Gally, D. L., McNeilly, T. N., Low, J. C., Mahajan, A., Savill, N. J.. 2012. Insights into mucosal innate responses to Escherichia coli O157 : H7 colonization of cattle by mathematical modelling of excretion dynamics. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Vol.9 (No.68), pp. 518-527, View
  • Tildesley, Michael J., Smith, Gary, Keeling, Matthew James. 2012. Modeling the spread and control of foot-and-mouth disease in Pennsylvania following its discovery and options for control. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol.104 (No.3-4), pp. 224-239, View
  • Yan, Lei, Gao, Yan, Zhang, Yong, Tildesley, Michael J., Liu, L, Zhang, Y, Wen, Leying, Wang, Wei, Li, Xiaodan, Hu, Ying, Bai, Tian, Wang, Min, Zeng, Yuhong, Wang, Dingming, Wang, Xianjun, Lan, Yu, Wang, Shiwen, Shu, Yuelong. 2012. Epidemiological and virological characteristics ofpandemic influenza A (H1N1) 2009 in schooloutbreaks in China. PLoS One, Vol.7 (No.9), View
  • Tildesley, Michael J., Ryan, Sadie J.. 2012. Disease prevention versus data privacy : using landcover maps to inform spatial epidemic models. PLoS Computational Biology, Vol.8 (No.11), View
  • Tildesley, Michael J., Volkova, Victoriya, Woolhouse, M. E. J. (Mark E. J.). 2011. Potential for epidemic take-off from the primary outbreak farm via livestock movements. BMC Veterinary Research, Vol.7 (No.1), View


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