I am a third year PhD Student studying infectious disease modelling in the MathSys CDT, University of Warwick. I have also recently started a postdoctoral research position at the University of Oxford, working with the NTD Modelling Consortium.
- 2016 - present: PhD - University of Warwick
- 2015-2016: MSc Mathematics of Real-World Systems - University of Warwick
- 2014-2015: MRes Biomedical Research (Epidemiology, Evolution, and Control of Infectious diseases) - Imperial College
- 2010-2014: MMath - University of Warwick
The main goal of my PhD is to use mathematical models to investigate the interactions between public health interventions and the biological determinants of neglected tropical diseases. I am supervised by Prof. Deirdre Hollingsworth and Prof. Matt Keeling and funded by the EPSRC. I have worked on a number of areas so far during my PhD, including:
- Building a vector model to describe the extrinsic dynamics of mosquito-borne infections and inform xenomonitoring methods; focusing on lymphatic filariasis and malaria.
- Using individual-based stochastic simulations of lymphatic filariasis infection and branching processes to look in closer detail at the conditions and control measures required to achieve true elimination beyond the 2020 goals.
- A collaboration with other members of the MathSys group working on a real-time meta-population model of ebola transmission during the first 2018 DRC ebola outbreak.
- Guiding analysis of soil-transmitted helminth data from Sri Lanka, specifically looking at co-morbidity of different worm species and seasonal trends.
- Invesigating how seasonality can influence optimal timing of treatment programs for A. lumbricoides using a deterministic model of population worm burden with varying seasonal parameters for the external parasite stages.
Publications and Awards
- NTD Modelling Consortium Lymphatic Filariasis Group. The roadmap towards elimination of lymphatic filariasis by 2030: insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling [version 1; peer review: 1 approved]. Gates Open Research. 2019, 3:1538
- Davis EL, Reimer LJ, Pellis L, Hollingsworth TD. Evaluating the Evidence for Lymphatic Filariasis Elimination. Trends in Parasitology. 2019 Sep 7.
- Meakin S, Davis EL, Keeling MJ, Tildesley M. A metapopulation model for the 2018 Ebola virus disease outbreak in Equateur province in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. (In prep).
- 1st Place, Take AIM Competition (Articulating the Influence of Mathematics), The Smith Institute, Jan 2019
- Lepper HC, Prada JM, Davis EL, Gunawardena SA, Hollingsworth TD. Complex interactions in soil-transmitted helminth co-infections from a cross-sectional study in Sri Lanka. Transactions of The Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. 2018 Jul 25;112(8):397-404.
- Davis EL, Danon L, Prada JM, Gunawardena SA, Truscott JE, Vlaminck J, Anderson RM, Levecke B, Morgan ER, Hollingsworth TD. Seasonally timed treatment programs for Ascaris lumbricoides to increase impact—An investigation using mathematical models. PLoS neglected tropical diseases. 2018 Jan 18;12(1):e0006195
- 2016: I spent 3 months looking at the potential role of insecticide-treated bed-nets in the reduction of lymphatic filariasis cases, motivated by a reduction in cases in the Gambia despite no drug administration, supervised by Dr. Deirdre Hollingsworth (Mathematics and Life Sciences).
- 2016: I took part in a Public Health England Research Study Group looking at the dynamics of highly dose-dependant infections along with Chris Davis, Sophie Meakin, and Cameron Lack, supervised by Prof. Matt Keeling (Complexity Science, University of Warwick) and Dr. Ian Hall (PHE).
- 2015: During my MRes at Imperial College I spent 6 months working with Dr. Tom Churcher, investigating the effect of spatial heterogeneity on monitoring and classifying elimination of malaria in Sri Lanka.
- 2014: Also at Imperial College I worked with Prof. Neil Ferguson and Prof. Austin Burt looking at the population dynamics of genetically modified mosquitoes with a driving Y chromosome.
- 2014: My MMath dissertation, supervised by Dr. Deirdre Hollingsworth and Dr. Leon Danon at the University of Warwick, investigated the effect of seasonal environmental fluctuations on the optimal timing of mass treatment programs for A. lumbricoides infections.
- Office: D2.14, Mathematics Institute, Zeeman building.