Walk the Line: Conflict, State Capacity and the Political Dynamics of Reform
Walk the Line: Conflict, State Capacity and the Political Dynamics of Reform
156/2013 Sanjay Jain, Sumon Majumdar and Sharun Mukand
This paper develops a dynamic framework to analyze the political sustainability of economic reforms in developing countries. First, we demonstrate that economic reforms that are proceeding successfully may run into a political impasse, with the reform’s initial success having a negative impact on its political sustainability. Second, we demonstrate that greater state capacity, to make compensatory transfers to those adversely a.ected by reform, need not always help the political sustainability of reform, but can also hinder it. Finally, we argue that in ethnically divided societies, economic reform may be completed not despite ethnic conflict, but because of it.
Culture and Development
Journal of Development Economics
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2014.02.004