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IER Newsletter - February 2020

IER Newsletter - February 2020

Labour market and skills projections: 2017 to 2027

The latest ‘Labour market and skills projections: 2017 to 2027', undertaken by IER’s Professor Rob Wilson and his team, including IER’s Sally-Anne Barnes, Derek Bosworth and David Owen and researchers at Cambridge Econometrics, have just been published by the Department for Education. Working Futures 2017-2027 is the latest in a series of quantitative assessments of the employment prospects in the UK labour market over a 10-year horizon. It presents historical trends and future prospects by sector for the UK and its constituent nations and the English regions.

The study shows that overall the number of jobs in the UK is projected to rise by around 1 million over the next decade with more of these jobs expected to be taken by female workers than male. The unemployment rate is expected to rise slightly and the expansion of the UK's labour supply is forecast to slow over the next decade, curbed by slower population growth (than during 2007-2017) and an ageing population. The reports are now available to download.

Follow the IER twitter account for updates on other published outputs from the study.

Webinar: The role of parents in providing careers guidance and how they can be supported

The notion that involving parents in careers education and guidance (CEG) is highly desirable is neither new nor innovative. Although parents undoubtedly have the potential to influence the career development of young people in their care, both positively and negatively, robust evidence of what, when and how parental behaviours constructively support their children’s learning about career progression remains inconclusive and elusive.
Sally-Anne Barnes, with Jenny Bimrose, Alan Brown and John Gough, have been undertaking research to understand how parents and carers can be better supported by schools and colleges to feel more informed and confident about the careers support and advice they give. This has been undertaken with the support of the Gatsby Foundation and the JP Morgan Chase Foundation. This study has produced a wealth of experiential evidence on the engagement of parents, as well as an overview of what is happening in practice.
A recent event held in London to share findings and interesting practice was attended by participants from across the UK. An evidence report will be published shortly along with a practice report. Sign up to find out more or join an upcoming webinar.
(Image credit: The Lego Grad Student)

Can Big Data fill your data vacuum?

Traditional data sources do not have the timeliness or the level of detail that many organisations using labour market information (LMI) need. NESTA is funding a project on novel sources of data that can yield reliable LMI in real time and at a level of detail (granularity) that can satisfy even local area organisations such as Skills Advisory Panels, Local Enterprise Partnerships and learning providers.

Derek Bosworth is leading this work and would like to invite you to identify your data needs by filling in a very short questionnaire, which can be found here.

Sally-Anne Barnes gave key-note presentation at a European Network of Public Employment Services event

Sally-Anne Barnes delivered the keynote presentation at the Mutual Learning webinar 'Measuring employability' for the European Network of Public Employment Services on 27 February. The event was organised by FGB.
Sally-Anne drew on her recent work on distance travelled models and trends in profiling jobseekers. The presentation entitled 'Measuring the distance travelled and soft outcomes for long-term unemployed people' discussed evidence on distance travelled models as a way of monitoring and evaluating labour market programme recipients’ outcomes and progression to the labour market.

IER welcomes PhD student Andreana Glendinning

Andreana Glendinning’s PhD focuses on investigating barriers to military veterans entering civilian employment with an emphasis on gender and social inequalities. Andreana was awarded a joint ESRC studentship with supervisors at IER (Professor Clare Lyonette) and the University of Nottingham (Professor Tracey Warren).
Andreana has spent the last 17 years as a Nursing Officer in the Royal Navy working in a variety of roles and environments. With a background in teaching research methods and healthcare related subjects as well as delivering care as an intensive care nurse in austere environments, she completed a PGCert in Research Methods for Social Science and Health in 2019 to prepare for doctoral study. Prior to her military service she worked in the NHS and overseas for 20 years completing her Bachelors degree and Masters programme while working full time.


Wilson, R. A., S-A. Barnes, M. May-Gillings, S. Patel and H. Bui (2020). Working Futures 2017-2027: Long-run labour market and skills projections (Main report). London: Department for Education.

Wilson, R. A., D. Owen, D Bosworth, S-A. Barnes, M. May-Gillings, S. Patel and H. Bui (2020). Working Futures 2017-2027: Long-run labour market and skills projections (Headline report). London: Department for Education.

Wilson, R. A., M. May-Gillings, S. Patel and H Bui, (2020). Working Futures 2017-2027: Long-run labour market and skills projections (Technical report on sources and methods). London: Department for Education.

Wilson, R. A., D. Owen, S-A. Barnes, M. May-Gillings, S. Patel and H. Bui, (2020). Working Futures 2017-2027: Long-run labour market and skills projections (Annexes). London: Department for Education.

These Working Futures publications are available on the website.
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