Please read our student and staff community guidance on COVID-19
Skip to main content Skip to navigation

Key research questions and themes

Specific research questions

Select tags to filter on

Government policy and economic shocks - what impact on actual and potential growth?

image

What assumptions does the OBR make about effects of government policy (and shocks like the global financial crisis, or Brexit) on actual and potential growth?


OBR growth forecasts and political debate on austerity

image

How have OBR growth forecasts shaped UK party-political debates about austerity?

Growth forecasts crucially mediate the politics of austerity through their implications for the tax take, and in assumptions they make about effects of government policy (and shocks like the GFC or Brexit) on actual and potential growth.

Tue 19 Mar 2019, 17:16 | Tags: political debate, austerity, UK economic growth, OBR

OBR and pervasive uncertainty

image

How do the the OBR deal with pervasive uncertainty?

The project assesses the strengths and weaknesses of each growth evaluation approach, paying particular attention to the assumptions they make, how uncertainty is taken into account.

Tue 19 Mar 2019, 17:12 | Tags: uncertainty, OBR