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Workshop "Advances in Economic Modelling and Forecasting"

8 July 2019

Location: Scarman, University of Warwick


10.55 – 11.00 Welcome


11.00 – 11.45 Kalvinder Shields (University of Melbourne)

Measuring the Fiscal Multiplier when Plans Take Time to Implement” (with Kevin Lee, James Morley and Kian Ong)

11.45 – 12.30 Michael Clements (Henley Business School)

Forecaster Efficiency, Accuracy and Disagreement: Evidence using Individual-Level Survey Data

12.30 – 13.30 Lunch (by invitation)


13.30 – 14.15

Jack Fosten (King's Business School)

Panel Data Nowcasting” (with Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy)

14.15 – 15.00 Gary Koop (University of Strathclyde)

Inducing Sparsity and Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models” (with F. Huber and L. Onorante)

15.00 – 15.15 Coffee Break


15.15 – 16.00 Kevin Lee (University of Nottingham)

A Meta Model Analysis of Exchange Rate Determination and Predictability” (with Chrystalleni Aristidou and Kalvinder Shields)

16.00 – 16.45 Anthony Garratt (Warwick Business School)

"Commodity Prices and Inflation Risk" (with I. Petrella)