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ST405 - Bayesian Forecasting and Intervention with Advanced Topics

  • Module code: ST405
  • Module name: Bayesian Forecasting and Intervention with Advanced Topics
  • Department: Statistics
  • Credit: 15

Content and teaching | Assessment | Availability

Module content and teaching

Principal aims

This course is concerned with the theory and practice of short-term forecasting, using both data and subjective information. The course focuses on Dynamic Linear Models (DLM). DLM’s are a class of Bayesian Forecasting Models which generalise linear regression models and static statistical linear models.

Principal learning outcomes

The course offers a very powerful fundamental probabilistic approach to forecasting, controlling and learning about uncertain commercial, financial, economic, production, enviromental and medical dynamic systems.

Timetabled teaching activities

3 lectures per week.

Departmental link

http://www2.warwick.ac.uk/fac/sci/statistics/courses/modules/years3-4/st405

Other essential notes

Prerequisite(s): ST218 Mathematical Statistics A and ST219 Mathematical Statistics B (ST220 Mathematical Statistics for students outside the Statistics department). Only available to students who have not taken ST337.

Module assessment

Assessment group Assessment name Percentage
15 CATS (Module code: ST405-15)
B (Examination only) Examination - Main Summer Exam Period (weeks 4-9) 100%

Module availability

This module is available on the following courses:

Core

N/A

Optional Core

N/A

Optional
  • Undergraduate Mathematics and Statistics (BSc MMathStat) (G1G3) - Year 3
  • Undergraduate Mathematics and Statistics (BSc MMathStat) (G1G3) - Year 4
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (G300) - Year 3
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (G300) - Year 4
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (G30A) - Year 3
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (G30A) - Year 4
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (G30A) - Year 5
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (G30B) - Year 3
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (G30B) - Year 4
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (G30B) - Year 5
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (G30C) - Year 3
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (G30C) - Year 4
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (G30C) - Year 5
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (G30D) - Year 3
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (G30D) - Year 4
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (G30D) - Year 5
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (with Intercalated (G30E) - Year 3
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (with Intercalated (G30E) - Year 4
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (with Intercalated (G30E) - Year 5
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (with Intercalated (G30F) - Year 3
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (with Intercalated (G30F) - Year 4
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (with Intercalated (G30F) - Year 5
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (with Intercalated (G30G) - Year 3
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (with Intercalated (G30G) - Year 4
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (with Intercalated (G30G) - Year 5
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (with Intercalated (G30H) - Year 3
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (with Intercalated (G30H) - Year 4
  • Undergraduate Master of Mathematics,Operational Research,Statistics and Economics (with Intercalated (G30H) - Year 5
  • Postgraduate Taught Statistics (G4P1) - Year 2