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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTAMP:20260712T121656Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20201105T150000
DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20201105T170000
SUMMARY:Knowledge and Belief Seminar
TZID:Europe/London
UID:20201105-8a17841b727ec257017293eb574857a1@warwick.ac.uk
CREATED:20201102T103224Z
DESCRIPTION:Guest Speaker: Paul Silva (University of Cologne) Title: 'Kno
 wledge\, Belief\, and the Possession of Reasons' Abstract. Lottery cases
 \, cases of naked statistical evidence\, fine-tuning arguments\, and pro
 filing evidence can provide a thinker with evidence that ensures a high 
 probability in some claim p. Yet it's widely believed that p's being ver
 y probable on one's evidence is insufficient for justified belief that p
  and therefore also insufficient for knowing that p. Accordingly\, lotte
 ry cases (etc.) are cases where justified belief and knowledge are inacc
 essible. This lesson seems to naturally extend to fine-tuning arguments 
 (for theism or a multiverse) as well as profiling cases. In this paper I
  provide cases where one's evidence is "statistical" in a way that paral
 lels lottery cases (etc.) but\, shockingly\, our intuitions are reversed
 : these parallel cases are cases where high probability justifies belief
  and holds the promise of knowledge. Existing accounts of what goes wron
 g in cases of "merely statistical evidence" cannot explain the justifica
 tory asymmetry between the parallel cases of statistical evidence. I exa
 mine two explanations. One builds on insights from Timothy Williamson. A
 nother builds on insights from David Lewis. Lessons are drawn about the 
 flaws and limitations of fine-tuning arguments as well as a certain clas
 s of arguments for the existence of moral encroachment on justification.
 
LOCATION:By Zoom
CATEGORIES:Home Page,Warwick Mind & Action,Seminar,Postgraduate,Undergrad
 uate
LAST-MODIFIED:20201102T103224Z
ORGANIZER;CN=Clare Simpson:
END:VEVENT
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