![The OBR and the Politics of UK Growth amidst Brexit, Uncertainty and Austerity banner image, Union Jack and EU flag in front of London skyline and stormy skies](https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/pais/research/projects/obrandbrexit/obrandbrexit/hp-contents/brexit_main_555x520.png)
There may be trouble ahead ...
Exploring the politics of economic performace assessments during times of pervasive uncertainty
![Financial data analysis charts and graphs](https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/pais/research/projects/obrandbrexit/obrandbrexit/hp-contents/brexit_secondary_555x240.png)
Firm evidence?
To what extent are economic forecasts grounded in firm evidence and scientific analyis? Are economic projections also themselves political constructs?
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UK Economy's Growth Path
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Economic growth forecasting ...art or science?
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the end of Austerity?
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which way now?
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what will all this mean for British manufacturing?
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what future for British capitalism?
Research theme #1: The politics of constructing economic performance assessment
Assessing present and future economic growth is a deeply political process, with major implications for UK economic policy
Research theme #2: Piloting economic policy under conditions of pervasive uncertainty
Economic forecasting always faces significant uncertainties. How do the OBR and others deal with such uncertainty?
Research theme #3: Brexit, UK economic growth and the British model of capitalism
How will Brexit change the UK economy’s structure, performance, productivity and growth potential?
Research theme #4: Brexit and the UK's economic growth in the public debate
How well-informed are the positions on Brexit’s economic impacts within the public debate and political process?