Dr John Parkinson, Department of Politics and International Studies, warns there is not enough motivation for people to turn out and vote in the elections today.
He said: ‘Don’t expect much turnout. Largely because of the nature of the seats being fought, there are few motivating factors here – few local controversies whose solutions are in local hands, a lack of proper competition in many areas and a related information vacuum.
‘This means that people will be voting either to express identity and solidarity with a national party, or to send a national message of frustration. Combine all that with the nature of the seats being fought, and I don’t expect radical change. The Conservative vote will fall; Ukip will do well in terms of overall vote but won’t take control anywhere; the Lib Dems will do fine in traditional heartlands but very poorly elsewhere; and Labour will make only patchy in-roads. If these elections featured more city and fewer county councils, the story would be very different.”