Tommys charity launched the Miscarriage Support tool that uses a miscarriage model developed in the Burroughs group.

Working with Professor Siobhan Quenby, WMS, on her Tommys net longitudinal data set, Nigel Burroughs developed predictive models for miscarriage, fertility and time to pregnancy using
a set of covariates, including previous miscarriage history, age and BMI. This work originally started as a 4th year UG research project, was developed into a validated predictive tool by Constandina Koki, PDRA in the Burroughs group. The support tool aims to give women with a history of miscarriage an estimate for the probability of a successful pregnancy, and thus alleviate some of the worries associated with repeated pregnancy loss (RPL). Work continues and a publication will hopefully follow shortly.

Matt Keeling and Louise Dyson were part of the Warwick Zeeman team invited to attend the Weldon Prize giving in Oxford.

This prize is awarded annually for ‘noteworthy contributions to the development of mathematical or statistical methods applied to problems in Biology’. This year it was given to the SPI-M-O group (part of SAGE) in recognition for their work during the COVID-19 pandemic. The awards committee said "Under great pressure to deliver results quickly, and under immense public scrutiny, SPI-M-O both built on existing science and developed new epidemiological and statistical techniques to understand the spread of the virus and how it might be controlled. The importance of good and timely disease modelling for policymakers has never been as clear."

There is one thing that I want to bring to everyone's attention. SBIDER Seminars will return on Monday 26th in the Oculus (2-3, with lunch 1-2). The first talk will be by Anna Seale (WMS) - Anna did some fantastic work as part of UKHSA during the pandemic, but will be telling us about the control of Group A Strep in Africa - an interest that will see her move to work for BMGF shortly.

• Timothy Saunders, 10th October,
• Kris Parag, 24th October
• Susana Gomes, 31st October
• Joe Hilton, 7th November
• Stephen Parnell, 14th November
• Michelle Kendall, 21st November
• Helen Wilson, 28th November
• Marya Bazzi, 5th December