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Dr Tim Sullivan | Publications

This is a list of all publications, ordered reverse-chronologically; preprints that are later published after peer review are re-sorted according to their year of final publication. See also this page for a categorised version of this list.

  1. I. Klebanov, B. Sprungk, and T. J. Sullivan. “The linear conditional expectation in Hilbert space.” Bernoulli, 2021. Accepted for publication.arXiv:2008.12070
  2. H. C. Lie, T. J. Sullivan, and A. L. Teckentrup. “Error bounds for some approximate posterior measures in Bayesian inference” in Numerical Mathematics and Advanced Applications ENUMATH 2019, ed. F. J. Vermolen and C. Vuik. Lecture Notes in Computational Science and Engineering 139, 2020. To appear. doi:10.1007/978-3-030-55874-1_26 arXiv:1911.05669
  3. F. Schäfer, T. J. Sullivan, and H. Owhadi. “Compression, inversion, and approximate PCA of dense kernel matrices at near-linear computational complexity.” Multiscale Model. Simul., 2020. Accepted for publication. arXiv:1706.02205
  4. H. Kersting, T. J. Sullivan, and P. Hennig. “Convergence rates of Gaussian ODE filters.” Stat. Comput. 30(6):1791–1816, 2020. doi:10.1007/s11222-020-09972-4 arXiv:1807.09737
  5. L. Bonnet, J.-L. Akian, É. Savin, and T. J. Sullivan. “Adaptive reconstruction of imperfectly-observed monotone functions, with applications to uncertainty quantification.” Algorithms 13(8):196, 2020. doi:10.3390/a13080196 arXiv:2007.05236
  6. I. Klebanov, I. Schuster, and T. J. Sullivan. “A rigorous theory of conditional mean embeddings.” SIAM J. Math. Data Sci. 2(3):583–606, 2020. doi:10.1137/19M1305069 arXiv:1912.00671
  7. M. McKerns, F. J. Alexander, K. S. Hickman, T. J. Sullivan, and D. E. Vaughan. “Optimal bounds on nonlinear partial differential equations in model certification, validation, and experimental design” in Handbook on Big Data and Machine Learning in the Physical Sciences, Volume 2: Advanced Analysis Solutions for Leading Experimental Techniques, ed. K. K. van Dam, K. G. Yager, S. I. Campbell, R. Farnsworth, and M. van Dam. World Scientific Series on Emerging Technologies 271–306, 2020. doi:10.1142/9789811204579_0014 arXiv:2009.06626
  8. C. J. Oates, J. Cockayne, D. Prangle, T. J. Sullivan, and M. Girolami. “Optimality criteria for probabilistic numerical methods” in Multivariate Algorithms and Information-Based Complexity, ed. F. J. Hickernell and P. Kritzer. Radon Series on Computational and Applied Mathematics 27:65–88, 2020. doi:10.1515/9783110635461-005 arXiv:1901.04326
  9. E. Nava-Yazdani, H.-C. Hege, T. J. Sullivan, and C. von Tycowicz. “Geodesic analysis in Kendall's shape space with epidemiological applications.” J. Math. Imaging Vis. 62(4):549–559, 2020. doi:10.1007/s10851-020-00945-w arXiv:1906.11950
  10. O. Ernst, F. Nobile, C. Schillings, and T. J. Sullivan (ed.). Uncertainty Quantification, 11–15 March 2019, Oberwolfach Reports 16(1):695–772, 2019. doi:10.4171/OWR/2019/12
  11. J. Cockayne, C. J. Oates, T. J. Sullivan, and M. Girolami. “Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods.” SIAM Rev. 61(4):756–789, 2019. doi:10.1137/17M1139357 arXiv:1702.03673
  12. M. Girolami, I. C. F. Ipsen, C. J. Oates, A. B. Owen, and T. J. Sullivan. “Editorial: Special Edition on Probabilistic Numerics.” Stat. Comput. 29(6):1181–1183, 2019. doi:10.1007/s11222-019-09892-y
  13. C. J. Oates and T. J. Sullivan. “A modern retrospective on probabilistic numerics.” Stat. Comput. 29(6):1335–1351, 2019. doi:10.1007/s11222-019-09902-z arXiv:1901.04457
  14. H. C. Lie, A. M. Stuart, and T. J. Sullivan. “Strong convergence rates of probabilistic integrators for ordinary differential equations.” Stat. Comput. 29(6):1265–1283, 2019. doi:10.1007/s11222-019-09898-6 arXiv:1703.03680
  15. T. J. Sullivan. “Contributed discussion on the article ‘A Bayesian conjugate gradient method’.” Bayesian Anal. 14(3):985–989, 2019. doi:10.1214/19-BA1145 arXiv:1906.10240
  16. O. Teymur, H. C. Lie, T. J. Sullivan, and B. Calderhead. “Implicit probabilistic integrators for ODEs” in Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 31 (NIPS 2018), ed. S. Bengio, H. Wallach, H. Larochelle, K. Grauman, N. Cesa-Bianchi, and R. Garnett. 7244–7253, 2018. http://papers.nips.cc/paper/7955-implicit-probabilistic-integrators-for-odes arXiv:1805.07970
  17. H. C. Lie, T. J. Sullivan, and A. L. Teckentrup. “Random forward models and log-likelihoods in Bayesian inverse problems.” SIAM/ASA J. Uncertain. Quantif. 6(4):1600–1629, 2018. doi:10.1137/18M1166523 arXiv:1712.05717
  18. H. C. Lie and T. J. Sullivan. “Erratum: Equivalence of weak and strong modes of measures on topological vector spaces (2018 Inverse Problems 34 115013).” Inverse Probl. 34(12):129601, 2018. doi:10.1088/1361-6420/aae55b
  19. H. C. Lie and T. J. Sullivan. “Equivalence of weak and strong modes of measures on topological vector spaces.” Inverse Probl. 34(11):115013, 2018. doi:10.1088/1361-6420/aadef2 arXiv:1708.02516
  20. H. C. Lie and T. J. Sullivan. “Quasi-invariance of countable products of Cauchy measures under non-unitary dilations.” Electron. Commun. Prob. 23(8):1–6, 2018. doi:10.1214/18-ECP113 arXiv:1611.10289
  21. I. Schuster, P. G. Constantine, and T. J. Sullivan. “Exact active subspace Metropolis–Hastings, with applications to the Lorenz-96 system.” arXiv Preprint, 2017. arXiv:1712.02749
  22. T. J. Sullivan. “Well-posedness of Bayesian inverse problems in quasi-Banach spaces with stable priors” in 88th Annual Meeting of the International Association of Applied Mathematics and Mechanics (GAMM), Weimar 2017, ed. C. Könke and C. Trunk. Proceedings in Applied Mathematics and Mechanics 17(1):871–874, 2017. doi:10.1002/pamm.201710402 arXiv:1710.05610
  23. T. J. Sullivan. “Well-posed Bayesian inverse problems and heavy-tailed stable quasi-Banach space priors.” Inverse Probl. Imaging 11(5):857–874, 2017. doi:10.3934/ipi.2017040 arXiv:1605.05898
  24. J. Cockayne, C. J. Oates, T. J. Sullivan, and M. Girolami. “Probabilistic numerical methods for PDE-constrained Bayesian inverse problems” in Proceedings of the 36th International Workshop on Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, ed. G. Verdoolaege. AIP Conference Proceedings 1853:060001-1–060001-8, 2017. doi:10.1063/1.4985359 arXiv:1701.04006
  25. J. Cockayne, C. J. Oates, T. J. Sullivan, and M. Girolami. “Probabilistic meshless methods for partial differential equations and Bayesian inverse problems.” arXiv Preprint, 2016. arXiv:1605.07811
  26. T. J. Sullivan. Introduction to Uncertainty Quantification, volume 63 of Texts in Applied Mathematics. Springer, 2015. ISBN 978-3-319-23394-9 (hardcover), 978-3-319-23395-6 (e-book). doi:10.1007/978-3-319-23395-6
  27. H. Owhadi, C. Scovel, and T. J. Sullivan. “On the brittleness of Bayesian inference.” SIAM Rev. 57(4):566–582, 2015. doi:10.1137/130938633 arXiv:1308.6306
  28. H. Owhadi, C. Scovel, and T. J. Sullivan. “Brittleness of Bayesian inference under finite information in a continuous world.” Electron. J. Stat. 9(1):1–79, 2015. doi:10.1214/15-EJS989 arXiv:1304.6772
  29. P.-H. T. Kamga, B. Li, M. McKerns, L. H. Nguyen, M. Ortiz, H. Owhadi, and T. J. Sullivan. “Optimal uncertainty quantification with model uncertainty and legacy data.” J. Mech. Phys. Solids 72:1–19, 2014. doi:10.1016/j.jmps.2014.07.007
  30. T. J. Sullivan. “Optimal Uncertainty Quantification for Hypervelocity Impact” in Uncertainty Quantification in Computational Fluid Dynamics, 15–19 September 2014, von Karman Institute for Fluid Dynamics, Belgium, and 2–3 June 2014, Stanford University, United States. STO-AVT-VKI Lecture Series, AVT-235, , 2014.
  31. T. J. Sullivan, M. McKerns, M. Ortiz, H. Owhadi, and C. Scovel. “Optimal uncertainty quantification: Distributional robustness versus Bayesian brittleness.” ASME J. Med. Dev. 7(4):040920, 2013. doi:10.1115/1.4025786
  32. T. J. Sullivan, M. McKerns, D. Meyer, F. Theil, H. Owhadi, and M. Ortiz. “Optimal uncertainty quantification for legacy data observations of Lipschitz functions.” ESAIM Math. Model. Numer. Anal. 47(6):1657–1689, 2013. doi:10.1051/m2an/2013083 arXiv:1202.1928
  33. H. Owhadi, C. Scovel, T. J. Sullivan, M. McKerns, and M. Ortiz. “Optimal Uncertainty Quantification.” SIAM Rev. 55(2):271–345, 2013. doi:10.1137/10080782X arXiv:1009.0679
  34. T. J. Sullivan, M. Koslowski, F. Theil, and M. Ortiz. “Thermalization of rate-independent processes by entropic regularization.” Discrete Contin. Dyn. Syst. Ser. S 6(1):215–233, 2013. doi:10.3934/dcdss.2013.6.215 arXiv:1209.3619
  35. L. Rast, T. J. Sullivan, and V. K. Tewary. “Stratified graphene/noble metal systems for low-loss plasmonics applications.” Phys. Rev. B 87(4):045428, 2013. doi:10.1103/PhysRevB.87.045428 arXiv:1301.5620
  36. M. Ortiz, M. McKerns, H. Owhadi, T. J. Sullivan, and C. Scovel. “Optimal Uncertainty Quantification” in Advanced Computational Engineering, 12–18 February 2012, ed. O. Allix, C. Carstensen, J. Schröder, and P. Wriggers. Oberwolfach Reports 9(1):537–540, 2012. doi:10.4171/OWR/2012/09
  37. T. J. Sullivan, M. Koslowski, F. Theil, and M. Ortiz. “Thermalization of rate-independent processes by entropic regularization” in Interplay of Analysis and Probability in Physics, 22–28 January 2012, ed. W. König, P. Mörters, M. Peletier, and J. Zimmer. Oberwolfach Reports 9(1):322–325, 2012. doi:10.4171/OWR/2012/06
  38. M. Adams, A. Lashgari, B. Li, M. McKerns, J. Mihaly, M. Ortiz, H. Owhadi, A. J. Rosakis, M. Stalzer, and T. J. Sullivan. “Rigorous model-based uncertainty quantification with application to terminal ballistics. Part II: Systems with uncontrollable inputs and large scatter.” J. Mech. Phys. Solids 60(5):1002–1019, 2012. doi:10.1016/j.jmps.2011.12.002
  39. A. A. Kidane, A. Lashgari, B. Li, M. McKerns, M. Ortiz, G. Ravichandran, M. Stalzer, and T. J. Sullivan. “Rigorous model-based uncertainty quantification with application to terminal ballistics. Part I: Systems with controllable inputs and small scatter.” J. Mech. Phys. Solids 60(5):983–1001, 2012. doi:10.1016/j.jmps.2011.12.001
  40. T. J. Sullivan and H. Owhadi. “Distances and diameters in concentration inequalities: from geometry to optimal assignment of sampling resources.” Int. J. Uncertain. Quantif. 2(1):21–38, 2012. doi:10.1615/Int.J.UncertaintyQuantification.v2.i1.30
  41. C. Scovel, H. Owhadi, T. J. Sullivan, M. McKerns, and M. Ortiz. “What is UQ?” in ADTSC Science Highlights 2012. Los Alamos National Laboratory, LA-UR 12-20429:26–27, 2012.
  42. M. M. McKerns, L. Strand, T. J. Sullivan, A. Fang, and M. A. G. Aivazis. “Building a Framework for Predictive Science” in Proceedings of the 10th Python in Science Conference (SciPy 2011), June 2011, ed. S. van der Walt and J. Millman. 67–78, 2011. doi:10.25080/Majora-ebaa42b7-00d arXiv:1202.1056
  43. T. J. Sullivan, U. Topcu, M. McKerns, and H. Owhadi. “Uncertainty quantification via codimension-one partitioning.” Internat. J. Numer. Methods Engrg. 85(12):1499–1521, 2011. doi:10.1002/nme.3030
  44. T. J. Sullivan and F. Theil. “On gradient descents in random wiggly energies” in Microstructures in Solids: From Quantum Models to Continua, 14–20 March 2010, ed. A. Mielke and M. Ortiz. Oberwolfach Reports 7(1):739–741, 2010. doi:10.4171/OWR/2010/14
  45. M. McKerns, H. Owhadi, C. Scovel, T. J. Sullivan, and M. Ortiz. “The optimal uncertainty algorithm in the mystic framework.” Caltech CACR Technical Report No. 523, August 2010. arXiv:1202.1055
  46. T. J. Sullivan, M. McKerns, U. Topcu, and H. Owhadi. “Uncertainty quantification via codimension-one domain partitioning and a new concentration inequality.” Proc. Soc. Behav. Sci. 2(6):7751–7752, 2010. doi:10.1016/j.sbspro.2010.05.211
  47. F. Theil, T. J. Sullivan, M. Koslowski, and M. Ortiz. “Dissipative systems in contact with a heat bath: Application to Andrade creep” in Proceedings of the IUTAM Symposium on Variational Concepts with Applications to the Mechanics of Materials, Bochum, Germany, September 22–26, 2008, ed. K. Hackl. IUTAM Bookseries 21:261–272, 2010. doi:10.1007/978-90-481-9195-6_20
  48. T. J. Sullivan, M. Koslowski, F. Theil, and M. Ortiz. “On the behavior of dissipative systems in contact with a heat bath: Application to Andrade creep.” J. Mech. Phys. Solids 57(7):1058–1077, 2009. doi:10.1016/j.jmps.2009.03.006
  49. T. J. Sullivan and F. Theil. “Deterministic stick-slip dynamics in a one-dimensional random potential” in Analysis and Numerics for Rate-Independent Processes, 25 February–3 March 2007, ed. G. Dal Maso, G. Francfort, A. Mielke, and T. Roubíček. Oberwolfach Reports 4(1):652–655, 2007. doi:10.4171/OWR/2007/11