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Incredible beliefs: Understanding clear-eyed believing against the evidence

Incredible beliefs:

Understanding clear-eyed believing against the evidence

Project Abstract

Existing work in philosophy and psychology tends to assume that if a person believes something against the evidence, then this person must have failed to properly evaluate the relevant evidence. This assumption, however, overlooks a distinctive form of irrationality, where subjects obstinately hold onto their beliefs, despite acknowledging that the evidence points to the contrary. My project investigates this uncharted territory in human irrationality by exploring the enigma across a spectrum of irrational beliefs and developing a plausible explanation of it. According to this explanation, irrational beliefs are sometimes explained by subjects’ compelling experiences, rather than failures to properly evaluate evidence.

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Related Publications

(forth.). Why rational people obstinately hold onto irrational beliefs: A new approach. In E. Schmidt & M. Grajner (Eds.), Epistemic Dilemmas and Epistemic Normativity. Routledge.

(2025). Akratic beliefs and seemings. Australasian Journal of Philosophy. 1-17

(2025) One-factorversustwo-factor theory of delusion: Replies to Sullivan-Bissett and Noordhof. Neuroethics, 18, article 4, 1-5.

(2025). The dark side of clarity. Southern Journal of Philosophy. 63(3): 429-443

Blog post

(2025) Rational people's irrational beliefs. Imperfect Cognitions.

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Contact: Chenwei Nie

Warwick Mind and Action Research Centre (WMA).

Funded by a Leverhulme Trust Early Career Fellowship (10.2024-09.2027).

Forthcoming events

4. Project Conference

Dates: 12-13 March 2026

Theme: Self-Awareness and Intersubjectivity

(Co-organised with Johannes Roessler)

Stay tuned for more information!

5. Project Workshop

Date: Wednesday, 25 March 2026

Theme: When knowledge isn't power!

Location:MB0.08, Mathematical Sciences Building

Intro: Chenwei Nie (Warwick)

Speakers: Heather Widdows (Warwick), Fiona MacCallum (Psychology, Warwick),

Kate Kirkpatrick (Oxford), and Kathleen Murphy-Hollies (Birmingham).

Concluding reflections: Quassim Cassam (Warwick).

(Co-organised with Heather Widdows; part of the British Philosophy Fortnight at Warwick.)

Stay tuned for more information!

Past events

1. Project Workshop

Date:Wednesday, 22 January 2025

Location:S0.19Link opens in a new window(Click to open an interactive map)

Theme:Experience and Rationality

Schedule:

14:00 - 15:30

Speaker: Alexander Greenberg (Southampton/Oxford)

Title:Consciousness and CognitiveMens Rea

Chair: Lucy Campbell

15:30 - 15:45

Coffee Break

15:45 - 17:15

Speaker: Guy Longworth (Warwick)

Title:Perception's Authority

Chair: Eve Poirier

17:15 - 17:30

Coffee Break

17:30 - 19:00

Speaker: Janset Özün Çetinkaya (Nottingham)

Title:Akrasia and Self-Deception in Aristotle

Chair: Eve Poirier

2. Project Workshop

Date:Wednesday, 25 June 2025

Location:S0.19Link opens in a new window(Click to open an interactive map)

Theme:Incredible delusions

Schedule:

16:00 - 17:25

Speaker: Matthew Parrott (Oxford)

Title:Dynamic delusions

Chair: Oli Needham

17:25 - 17:35

Coffee Break

17:35 - 19:00

Speaker: Johannes Roessler (Warwick)

Title:Parnas on empirical and bizarre delusions

Chair: Emma Clinton

3. Project Seminar

Date:Wednesday, 22 October 2025

Location:S0.11,Social Sciences Building

Chair: Melina Macfadyen

Schedule:

14:05-14:55

Speaker: Michelle Liu (Monash)

Title:Mental Imagery and Harmful Language*

14:55-15:05

Coffee Break

15:05-15:50

Q&A

The Leverhulme Trust

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