As media report that today a secret ballot of Conservative MPs on Prime Minister Boris Johnson's leadership has now been triggered, Emeritus Professor Wyn Grant, from Politics & International Studies at the University of Warwick comments.

Professor Grant said: "Given the size of the payroll vote, the absence of a clear successor with broad support and the perception that Johnson can still deliver an election victory, it is more than likely that Boris Johnson will win tonight. This will then end, at least for now, the uncertainty of recent months, although Theresa May won a vote of confidence and was gone within a year.

"Nevertheless, a substantial number of Conservative MPs will vote against him and this will further damage its reputation. It is likely to leave a deadlocked government lacking authority and with difficulty in passing its legislation."

6 June 2022

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