Forum
What is DR@W Forum?
DR@W Forum is an interdisciplinary discussion series which focuses on theoretical and empirical research about decision making.
The usual structure of the forum is a 30 - 45 minute introduction of the topic/working paper, with ample additional time for discussion.
The audience prefers discussing work-in-progress topics as opposed to finished papers. We meet on Thursdays between 2:30 and 3:45pm during term time. Contact John Taylor (John.Taylor[at]wbs.ac.uk) if you would like to suggest a speaker for a future event. Notifications of upcoming DR@W Forum events along with other decision research related activities can be obtained by registering with the moderated mailing list - email behaviour_spotlight at newlistserv dot warwick dot ac dot uk to be added to the list.
If you attend DR@W please take some time to fill in our survey It helps us understand who our audience are and how we can widen participation.
DR@W Forum: Kristof Madarasz (LSE)
This paper offers a simple but general model of egocentric perspective-taking by postulating a link between the extent to which people project their beliefs onto others and to which they anticipate each others' projection. We provide direct evidence for this link and explore various predictions of such projective thinking. When people learn whether others oppose or support a norm in settings where dissent is costly, they infer antagonistic preferences. The more costly dissent is, the more average opinion concludes that the norm is genuinely popular. In trade, informed traders bluff too little, uninformed ones are cursed, and the predictions closely match the experimental evidence.