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US Presidential Party switches are mirrored in global maternal mortality

US Presidential Party switches are mirrored in global maternal mortality

35/2022 Sonia Bhalotra, Damian Clarke, Hanna Mühlrad and Manuel Fernández Sierra
political economy,policy briefing

35/2022 Sonia Bhalotra, Damian Clarke, Hanna Mühlrad and Manuel Fernández Sierra

The Global Gag Rule is a pro-life policy that prohibits aid to overseas non-governmental organisations offering abortion-related information or services. Since first implemented by President Reagan in 1984, it has been enacted under every Republican and revoked under every Democrat. It was tightened under President Trump and rescinded under President Biden. Using data for 1985-2019, we demonstrate that aid for family planning has been 48% higher under Democratic presidential regimes. We estimate that a switch from Democratic to Republican party, for an aid-receiving country with above-median reliance on US family planning aid, is associated with an additional 0.6 deaths per 1,000 women, an increase of 8%. This erodes a fifth of the average worldwide decline in maternal mortality achieved since 1990.

Political Economy

The Global Gag Rule is a pro-life policy that prohibits aid to overseas non-governmental organisations offering abortion-related information or services. Since first implemented by President Reagan in 1984, it has been enacted under every Republican and revoked under every Democrat. It was tightened under President Trump and rescinded under President Biden.