Policy Briefings

Antidepressant use in childhood: Evidence and implications

Sonia Bhalotra, N Meltem Daysal, and Mircea Trandafir

The Broken Ladder: Remote work, AI, and the decline in early-career hiring

Peter John Lambert, Yannick Schindler

A Scorecard for the Seven New Towns

Nikhil Datta, Amrita Kulka

Do petrol retailers “price gouge” during oil price spikes?

Johannes Brinkmann, Nikhil Datta

Solving Britain’s Housing Crisis: Where and how to build 1.5 million homes

Nikhil Datta, Amrita Kulka

The Costs and Benefits of the Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation

Johannes Brinkmann, Nikhil Datta

Who would be affected by Capital Gains Tax reform?

40/2024 Arun Advani, Andrew Lonsdale and Andy Summers

Beyond the Energy Price Guarantee. With or without?

39/2022 Thiemo Fetzer

Reforming the non-dom regime: revenue estimates

38/2022 Arun Advani, David Burgherr and Andy Summers

Who are the super-rich? The wealth and connections of the Sunday Times Rich List

37/2022 Arun Advani, Andy Summers and Hannah Tarrant

The UK’s ‘non-doms’: Who are they, what do they do, and where do they live?

36/2022 Arun Advani David Burgherr Mike Savage Andy Summers

US Presidential Party switches are mirrored in global maternal mortality

35/2022 Sonia Bhalotra, Damian Clarke, Hanna Mühlrad and Manuel Fernández Sierra

Domestic violence: the potential role of job loss and unemployment benefits

34/2021 Sonia Bhalotra, Diogo Britto, Paolo Pinotti and Breno Sampaio

Fixing National Insurance: A better way to fund social care

33/2021 Arun Advani, Helen Hughson, Andy Summers and Hannah Tarrant

Remote work and the post-pandemic UK labour market

32/2021 Mirko Draca, Emma Duchini, Roland Rathelot and Giulia Vattuone

Do police reduce crime? Evidence from the 1829 introduction of the London Metropolitan Police

31/2021 Anna Bindler and Randi Hjalmarsson

Learning about the effectiveness of contact tracing from when it failed – a natural experiment

30/2020 Thiemo Fetzer and Thomas Graeber

How to get to Denmark: an assessment of Denmark as an economic model for developing countries

29/2020 Markus Lampe and Paul Sharp

How to keep up well-being during the COVID-19 Pandemic? Advice from the World Well-being Panel

28/2020 Tony Beatton, Ada Ferrer-i-Carbonell, Paul Frijters, Arthur Grimes and Eugenio Proto

How much tax do the rich really pay? New evidence from tax microdata in the UK

27/2020 Arun Advani and Andy Summers

How are workers searching for jobs during the COVID-19 crisis?

26/2020 Lena Hensvik, Thomas Le Barbanchon and Roland Rathelot

COVID-19: Six lessons for international trade

25/2020 Dennis Novy

Age, death risk, and the design of an exit strategy: A guide for policymakers and for citizens who want to stay alive

24/2020 Andrew Oswald and Nattavudh Powthavee

Update on estimating the forecasting COVID-19 outbreak in the UK

23/2020 Roberto Pancrazi

Indian migrants caught in the lockdown: How many will return? Where will they come from? Where will they return to?

22/2020 Clement Imbert

India's Lockdown

21/2020 Debraj Ray, S Subramanian and Lore Vandewalle

Estimating and forecasting COVID-19 evolution in the UK and its regions

20/2020 Roberto Pancrazi

Capital Gains and UK Inequality: new evidence from tax microdata

19/2020 Arun Advani and Andy Summers

The case for releasing the young from lockdown: A briefing paper for policymakers

18/2020 Andrew Oswald and Nattavudh Powdthavee

Driving change in the bus market: lessons from London

Mike Waterson, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 17, December 2019

Anarchy in the UK (and Everywhere Else): The Ideological Roots of Populism

Mirko Draca and Carlo Schwarz, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 16, September 2019

Discrimination in hiring based on potential and realised fertility: A field experiment

Sascha O. Becker, Ana Fernandes and Doris Weichselbaumer, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 99, June 2019

Advertising as a major source of human dissatisfaction: Cross-national evidence on one million Europeans

Chloé Michel, Michelle Sovinsky, Eugenio Proto and Andrew Oswald, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 98, May 2019

Tariffs and politics: Evidence from Trump’s trade wars

Thiemo Fetzer and Carlo Schwarz, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 97, April 2019

Austerity caused Brexit

Thiemo Fetzer, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 96, April 2019

Voting with their money: Brexit and outward investment by UK firms

Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 95, February 2019

Brexit: Blame it on the banking crisis

Nicholas Crafts, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 94, January 2019

The economic effects of Brexit: Evidence from the stock market

Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy, Thomas Sampson and Ahmed Usman, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 93, October 2018

Currency unions mean more trade, but not for everyone

Natalie Chen and Dennis Novy, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 92, July 2018

New eBook: The economics of the Great War: A centennial perspective

Stephen Broadberry and Mark Harrison, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 91, November 2018

Politics in the Facebook era: How reading political ads on Facebook affects our voting behaviour (…and helped Trump to win the presidential election)

Federica Liberini, Michela Redoano, Antonio Russo, Angel Cuevas Rumin and Ruben Cuevas Rumin, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 90, November 2018

Uncollected tax revenue - who is underpaying and what we should do about it

Arun Advani, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 15, June 2019

Austerity, Immigration or Globalisation: Was Brexit predictable?

Thiemo Fetzer, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 14, November 2018

The UK’s ‘productivity crisis’: Why weakening the link between education and family background could help solve it

Claire Crawford, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 13, October 2018

Productivity takes 'Leave'? The effect of maternity and paternity leave policy on our lives and the economy

The CAGE-Warwick in Brussels Series, No. 4, 11th July 2018

Judge, Jury, and EXEcute file: The Brave New World of Legal Automation

Elliot Ash, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 12, June 2018

The importance of frontier knowledge for the generation of ideas

Alessandro Iaria, Carlo Schwarz and Fabian Waldinger, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 89, January 2018

Economists relaxed about Bitcoin: New CFM-CEPR expert survey on cryptocurrencies, the financial system, and economic policy

Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 88, December 2017

Moving around: The changing geography of US manufacturing during the 20th century

Nicholas Crafts and Alex Klein, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 87, December 2017

The Soviet economy, 1917-1991: Its life and afterlife

Mark Harrison, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 86, November 2017

Brexit was a cry of financial pain and not the influence of the old

Federica Liberini, Andrew Oswald, Eugenio Proto and Michela Redoano, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 85, October 2017

Global risks from rising debt and asset prices: Views of leading economists

Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon and Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 84, October 2017

The midlife low in human beings

David Blanchflower and Andrew Oswald, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 83, September 2017

Unemployment insurance and reservation wages

Thomas Le Barbanchon, Roland Rathelot and Alexandra Roulet, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 82, June 2017

The Bank of England, interest rates and the UK economy

Michael McMahon, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 11, November 2017

The role of lobbying in political decision making

The CAGE-Warwick in Brussels Series, No. 3, September 2017

A new bargaining perspective on sovereign debt restructuring

Marcus Miller, Sayantan Ghosal, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 81, September 2017

The implications of Brexit for the City

Michael McMahon, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 80, September 2017

Short-term migration, rural workfare programmes, and urban labour markets

Clément Imbert, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 79, September 2017

Environmental economic history

James Fenske, Namrata Kala, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 78, September 2017

Electoral accountability and the natural resource curse

Amrita Dhillon, Pramila Krishnan, Manasa Patnam, Carlo Perroni, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 77, September 2017

UK industrial strategy: Views of economists on its desirability and prospects for success

Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 76, September 2017

The future of central bank independence: Results of the CFM–CEPR Survey

Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 75, September 2017

The danger of Germany's current account surpluses: Results of the CFM and CEPR Survey

Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 74, September 2017

Happiness and wellbeing as objectives of macroeconomic policy: Views of economists

Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 73, September 2017

German Council of Economic Experts’ view of ECB policy: Results of the CFM–CEPR Survey

Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 72, September 2017

Flexible labour markets, real wages, and economic recoveries: Views of economists

Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 71, September 2017

Brexit: The potential for a financial catastrophe and long-term consequences for the UK financial sector

Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 70, September 2017

Brexit and the economics profession: Are academic economists out of touch with voters and politicians?

Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 69, September 2017

Economic models vs ‘techno-optimism’: Predicting medium-term total factor productivity rates in the US

Nicholas Crafts, Terence Mills, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 68, September 2017

Brexit: Lessons from history

Nicholas Crafts, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 67, September 2017

Brexit: A new industrial strategy and rules on state aid

Nicholas Crafts, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 66, September 2017

Growing, shrinking, and long-run economic performance

Stephen Broadberry, John Joseph Wallis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 65, September 2017

The fundamental factors behind the Brexit vote

Sascha O. Becker, Thiemo Fetzer, Dennis Novy, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 64, September 2017

Happy voters (or why it's not always the economy, stupid)

Eugenio Proto, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 10, May 2017

Let's stay together? Combating discrimination on Airbnb

Roland Rathelot, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 9, December 2016

Are bad business practices holding back small firms in developing countries?

David McKenzie, Christopher Woodruff, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 63, July 2016

Efficiency and welfare costs of VAT: Evidence from VAT notches

Li Liu, Ben Lockwood, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 62, July 2016

US cities and productivity in the railroad era

Nicholas Crafts, Alex Klein, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 61, July 2016

Historical analysis of national subjective wellbeing using millions of digitised books: Introducing the HPS Index

Thomas Hills, Eugenio Proto, Daniel Sgroi, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 60, July 2016

Estimating border effects in international trade: User beware

Cletus C. Coughlin, Dennis Novy, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 59, July 2016

The political economy of liberal democracy

Sharun Mukand, Dani Rodrik, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 58, July 2016

Cereals, appropriability, and hierarchy

Joram Mayshar, Omer Moav, Zvika Neeman, Luigi Pascali, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 57, July 2016

Farewell to the vultures? Argentine debt restructuring and bargaining theory

Marcus Miller, Sayantan Ghosal, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 56, July 2016

The nature and effectiveness of central-bank communication

Stephen Hansen, Michael McMahon, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 55, July 2016

The future role of unconventional monetary policy: CFM Survey results

Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 54, July 2016

Taxing the foreign profits of multinational firms

Michael P. Devereux, Clemens Fuest, Ben Lockwood, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 53, July 2016

Onwards and upwards: American productivity growth during the Great Depression

Gerben Bakker, Nicholas Crafts, Pieter Woltjer, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 52, July 2016

The prices of higher quality goods respond less to exchange-rate movements

Natalie Chen, Luciana Juvenal, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 51, January 2014

The UK's new National Living Wage: Likely impact on employment, wages, and prices

Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 50, July 2016

The Brexit question will increase financial market volatility

Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 49, July 2016

Market volatility: More likely ‘noise’ than reason for concern

Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 48, July 2016

Japan and the Great Divergence, 725 to 1874

Jean-Pascal Bassino, Stephen Broadberry, Kyoji Fukao, Bishnupriya Gupta, Masanori Takashima, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 47, July 2016

Trade and tasks over three decades

Sascha O. Becker, Marc Muendler, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 46, July 2016

Make or Break: The Long Run Consequences of High-Stakes Exams

Victor Lavy, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 8 June 2016

Argentina, Debt Relief, and Vultures What are the lessons for Europe?

Marcus Miller, The CAGE-Warwick in Brussels Series, No. 2, May 2016

The Growth Effects of EU Membership for the UK: Review of the evidence

Nicholas Crafts, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 7, April 2016

It's Prices, Stupid: Explaining falling crime in the UK

Mirko Draca, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 6, February 2016

Is Secular Stagnation the Future of the Eurozone?

Nicholas Crafts, The CAGE-Warwick in Brussels Series No. 1, March 2015

Opportunities and challenges in fostering growth in the EU

Nicholas Crafts, Sascha Becker and Vera Troeger, The Brussels Podium Series, April 2015

Designing A Central Bank For The 21st Century Eurozone

Professor Kris Mitchener and Dr Michael McMahon, The Brussels Podium Series, 10 February 2014

Insights into Enterprise in Developing Countries

Dr Rocco Macchiavello and Professor Chris Woodruff, The Brussels Podium Series, 2 December 2013

The Skills Gap: Is It a Myth?

Thijs Van Rens, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 5, December 2015

Happiness and productivity: Understanding the happy-productive worker

Daniel Sgroi, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 4, Oct 2015

Doorstep banking in rural Sri Lanka increases customer savings...and income

Christopher Woodruff, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 45, August 2015

Happiness and voting

Eugenio Proto, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 44, August 2015

GDP and life satisfaction: New evidence

Eugenio Proto, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 43, August 2015

The midlife crisis in humans and other apes

Andrew Oswald, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 42, August 2015

High home ownership as a driver of high unemployment

Andrew Oswald, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 41, August 2015

Money makes people right-wing and inegalitarian

Andrew Oswald, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 40, August 2015

Uncertainty and the Great Trade Collapse: New evidence

Dennis Novy, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 39, August 2015

TTIP: Is free trade coming to the north Atlantic?

Dennis Novy, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 38, August 2015

Saving the euro: self-fulfilling crisis and the 'Draghi put'

Marcus Miller, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 37, August 2015

To exit the Great Recession, central banks must adapt their policies and models

Marcus Miller, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 36, August 2015

Outright Monetary Transactions sterilised?

Michael McMahon, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 35, August 2015

Could Obama buy Ohio votes?

Michael McMahon, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 34, August 2015

Mark Carney and first impressions in monetary policy

Michael McMahon, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 33, August 2015

Central bank transparency and committee deliberation

Michael McMahon, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 32, August 2015

Costing secrecy

Mark Harrison, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 31, August 2015

Four myths about the Great War of 1914-1918

Mark Harrison, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 30, August 2015

Escaping liquidity traps: Lessons from the UK's 1930s escape

Nicholas Crafts, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 29, August 2015

Competing successfully in a globalising world: Lessons from Lancashire

Nicholas Crafts, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 28, August 2015

The Eurozone: If only it were the 1930s

Nicholas Crafts, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 27, August 2015

Walking wounded: The British economy in the aftermath of World War I

Nicholas Crafts, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 26, August 2015

The prices of higher quality goods respond less to exchange-rate movements

Natalie Chen, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 25, August 2015

Accounting for the great divergence

Stephen Broadberry, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 24, August 2015

World War I: Why the Allies won

Stephen Broadberry, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 23, August 2015

Do entrepreneurs matter?

Sascha O. Becker, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 22, August 2015

Regional transfers in Europe: Do we need fewer of them or different ones?

Sascha O. Becker, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 21, August 2015

Can India grow faster? Answers from history

Tirthankar Roy, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 3, July 2015

The Challenge of Antimicrobial Resistance: Lessons from the Past for the Present and the Future

Cormac Ó Gráda, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 2, April 2015

Institutional Corruption? The revolving door in American and British politics

Mirko Draca, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 1, October 2014