Economic history
We draw lessons from the success stories of economic development in the past for policymakers today
Our research seeks to explain comparative long-run growth performance. A significant part of our work has been to build on and extend existing data to understand the reasons for growth performance over time. Since the beginning of CAGE, we have developed substantial new data and analysis on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Britain between 1270 and 1870. We have also put together and researched regional GDP data across Europe, enabling economists to better understand how modern economies have developed over time.
We use historical analysis to inform debate about economic challenges in the contemporary world. Our research often looks back over longer periods than most policymakers normally take into consideration. As such, we have drawn out new lessons for modern governments. For example, we have highlighted lessons from the financial crisis of the 1930s to inform policymakers how they should respond to the 2008 banking crash; uncovered the long term effect of forced migration on educational attainment; and investigated market potential and global growth over the long twentieth century. We have also contributed to a 45 year project on the Industrialisation of the Soviet Union (1929-39).
Theme leaders
Stephen Broadberry
Stephen is Professor of Economic History at Nuffield College, Oxford.
James Fenske
James is Professor of Economics at the University of Warwick.
Current and future research
CAGE Global Economic History Database: we are developing a website to host the data we have developed and compiled over the past ten years. In addition to our extensive datasets on British and European GDP, the site will also host Indian Census data, Indian firm level data and data on trade. Users will be able to download the datasets, look at our data visualisations, and learn more about our findings. The site will be a significant resource for economic historians and economists alike.
Research Highlights
- Domino Secessions: Evidence from the U.S., Jean Lacroix, Kris James Mitchener and Kim Oosterlinck, Social Science Research Network, 2023
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Economic Warfare: Lessons from Two World Wars, Mark Harrison, CEPR, 2023
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European Business Cycles and Economic Growth, 1300-2000, Stephen Broadberry and Jason Lennard, CEPR, 2023
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Wars and the Labor Market Outcomes of Minorities in the U.S, Andreas Ferrara, National Bureau of Economic Research, 2023
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Urban-Biased Structural Change, Natalie Chen, Dennis Novy, Carlo Perroni, and Horng Chern Wong, CEPR, 2023
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Holy Cows and Spilt Milk: The Impact of Religious Conflict on Firm-Level Productivity, Jeanet Bentzen, Nina Boberg-Fazlic, Paul Sharp, Christian Volmar Skovsgaard, Christian Vedel, CEPR, 2023
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The Political Effects of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in Weimar Germany, Stefan Bauernschuster, Matthias Blum, Erik Hornung, Christoph Koenig, Institute of Labor Economics, 2023
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Italy in the great divergence: what can we learn from Engel’s law?, David Chilosi, Carlo Ciccarelli, REPEC, 2023
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If You Do Not Change Your Behavior: Preventive Repression in Lithuania under Soviet Rule, Eugenia Nazrullaeva, Mark Harrison, REPEC, 2023
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Murphy’s Law or Luck of the Irish? Disparate Treatment of the Irish in 19th Century Courts, Anna Bindler, Stephen Machin, Randi Hjalmarsson, Melissa Rubio-Ramos, CEPR, 2023
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The Effect of Mechanisation on Labour: Evidence from the Diffusion of Steam, Leonardo Ridolfi, Carla Salvo, Jacob Weisdorf, Social Science Research Network, 2022
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Napoleonic Administrative Reforms and Development. Lessons from the Italian Mezzogiorno, Giulio Cainelli, Carlo Ciccarelli, Roberto Ganau, Social Science Research Network, 2022
Features
Crafts Lectures
An annual series of lectures in honour of Professor Nick Crafts, original founder and director of the CAGE Research Centre.
GrowthChat Podcast
A chat on the journey of humankind with CAGE associate Sascha O. Becker (Monash and University of Warwick) and Marco Lecci (Monash).