Our Seminars & Workshops

Title: Expecting an Expressway, the paper is here.

Title: Bayesian Double Machine Learning for Causal Inference.

Here is a link to the pdf: https://laurayuliu.com/research/BDML_DL/BDML.pdf

Title: Credit Spreads across Firm Size and Development

Title: Kinship networks, local elections, and female representation: Evidence from voter registration data in Nepal

Title: How Market Access Shapes Wellbeing and Values: Experimental Evidence from the D.R. Congo
Abstract: Classical liberals argue that the expansion of market access promoted prosociality, hard work, and thrift, while according to more critical schools of thought, mar- kets ushered in a more self-interested, secular, and unsatisfied homo economicus. We examine these ideas in a field experiment involving 4,200 individuals across 300 Congolese villages that provided free motorcycle transportation to the largest urban market in the province one day per week for six months. Market access increased household income by 16% nine months after the intervention by fa- cilitating enduring connections to urban traders and stimulating trade in cash crops. However, it eroded subjective wellbeing on average and made participants feel further away from their desired income, likely by generating within-village inequality and altering the reference points of market “losers.” Market access also had a secularizing effect: participants viewed religious faith as a less important value and a weaker determinant of success in life. Instead, they believed more in their own agency and in the value of hard work, productivity, education, in- come, and saving. An urban placebo treatment arm helps attribute these effects to market access, separate from exposure to the city and urban social networks more generally.

Two 30 minutes presentations.

i) Anisha will be presenting: Minority Concentration and Public-Order Enforcement: Evidence from India During High-Salience Periods

ii) Kaveendra will be presenting: The Economic Consequences of Private Colonialism: Evidence from British Malaya

Title: We're writing what? A meta analysis on economics scholarship.

Joint work with Annika Johnson (Bristol)

Title: Quantifying the Internal Validity of Weighted Estimands (with Alexandre Poirier),

The paper is available at https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.14603.

Title: (Mis-)Matchmaker.

A current version is available at the following link: https://github.com/jgieselmann/jgie/blob/main/JMP_Mismatchmaker.pdf

Title: Learning, Fast and Slow

Abstract: As learning agents are increasingly deployed in strategic environments, the question of how to strategically choose a learning method becomes economically relevant. We introduce a meta-game in which decision makers select learning rates in continuous-time projected gradient dynamics and evaluate payoffs along the entire trajectory of the resulting inner game, not merely at its limit.

We use $2 \times 2$ games to map the strategic considerations that arise in choosing the speed of learning. Three game classes produce three qualitatively distinct phenomena. In dominance-solvable games, faster learning is unambiguously beneficial under strategic complementarity, but best responses become non-monotonic under strategic substitutability, so that both players may optimally moderate their speeds. In coordination games, the ratio of learning rates governs basins of attraction, enabling equilibrium selection but introducing payoff discontinuities that cause standard existence results to fail. In zero-sum games, each player has a strictly monotonic incentive to increase their learning rate, generating an arms race with no equilibrium when rates are unbounded. Finally, we show that near any convergent Nash equilibrium every player strictly prefers to learn faster, implying that the richer phenomena above are driven by behaviour away from equilibria.

Gender Differences in Self-Promotion and Career Advice

Title to be advised.

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Title: to be advised.

Two 30minutes presentations.

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Title: Signaling with Plausible Deniability joint with Andrew McClellan

This is a new paper so there is no draft yet.

Title to be advised.

Dynamics of belief networks

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Title: The UK Economics Degree in 2026.

Joint with Ashley Lait (Bath)

Two 30 minutes presentations.

Titles to be advised.

Title: Prediction Intervals for Model Averaging

https://sites.bu.edu/qu/files/2025/10/Model_averaging.pdf

Details TBC

Title to be advised.

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Title: An Emotional Mr Market

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