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Tue 5 Mar, '24
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Applied Economics, Econometrics and Public Policy (CAGE) Seminar - Paul Niehaus (UCSD)
S2.79

Title: How Poverty Fell

Abstract: The share of the global population living in extreme poverty fell dramatically from an estimated 44% in 1981 to 9% in 2019. We describe how this happened: the extent to which changes within as opposed to between cohorts contributed to poverty declines, and the key changes in the lives of households as they transitioned out of (and into) poverty. We do so using cross-sectional and panel sources that are representative or near-representative of countries that collectively accounted for 70\% of global poverty decline since 1990. The repeated cross-sections show that the decline of poverty over time can be viewed as shared in parallel by all birth cohorts, such that poverty decline was primarily a within-cohort phenomenon. The panels show substantial within-cohort churn: gross transitions out of poverty were much larger than net changes, as many households also lapsed back into poverty. The overall picture is of a "slippery slope'' rather than a long-term trap. The role of sectoral transitions varied across countries, though progress within a given sector (most often agriculture) and a given occupation generally played a larger role than transitions between sectors or occupations.

Tue 12 Mar, '24
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Applied Economics, Econometrics and Public Policy (CAGE) Seminar - Roland Rathelot (ENSAE)
S2.79
Tue 23 Apr, '24
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Applied Economics, Econometrics & Public Policy (CAGE) Seminar - Gordon Dahl (UCSD)
S2.79

Title to be advised.

Tue 30 Apr, '24
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Applied Economics, Econometrics & Public Policy (CAGE) Seminar - NIlesh Fernando
S2.79

Title:  Regulation by Reputation? Intermediaries, Labor Abuses, and International Migration (with Niharika Singh, University of Notre Dame)

Tue 7 May, '24
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Applied Economics/ Econometrics & Public Policy (CAGE) Seminar - Heather Sarsons (UBC)
S2.79

Title to be advised.

Tue 14 May, '24
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Applied Economics/Econometrics & Public Policy (CAGE) Seminar - Seth Zimmerman (Yale)
S2.79

Title to be advised.

Tue 21 May, '24
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Applied Economics/Econometrics & Public Policy (CAGE) Seminar - Nico Voigtlaender (UCLA)
S2.79

Title to be advised.

Tue 28 May, '24
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Applied Economics/Econometrics & Public Policy (CAGE) Seminar - Lena Hensvik (Uppsala Universitet)
S2.79

Title to be advised.

Tue 4 Jun, '24
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Applied Economics/Econometrics & Public Policy (CAGE) Seminar - Zoe Cullen
S2.79

Title to be advised.

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