Skip to main content

Thiemo Fetzer

Contact details

Telephone: +44 (0)24 765 22919

Email: T dot Fetzer at warwick dot ac dot uk

Room: S1.116

Advice and feedback hours: [Monday 3pm - 5 pm]

Associate Professor

Thiemo Fetzer is an Associate Professor in the Economics department at the University of Warwick.

Thiemo's research has been featured in the Washington Post, the Guardian, Foreign Policy and the Financial Times. He is also affiliated with the Centre for Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) at University of Warwick and the Spatial Economics Research Centre (SERC) at London School of Economics, the Households in Conflict Network and the Pearson Institute at University of Chicago.

Personal Website with detailed list of publications.


London School of Economics, London, United Kingdom

Ph.D., Economics, 2015

M.Res., Economics, June 2010

M.Sc., Economics,with Distinction, June 2009

Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Germany

B.Sc., Management and Economics, June 2008, with Distinction

Part-undergraduate degree in Mathematics


The Welfare Cost of Lawlessness: Estimating the Welfare Cost of Somali Piracy, joint with Tim Besley and Hannes Mueller, Journal of the European Economics Association, Volume 13, Issue 2, pages 203 - 239, April 2015. [non-gated working paper]

Group Lending Without Joint Liability, joint with Jon de Quidt and Maitreesh Ghatak, Journal of Development Economics, pages 217-236, May 2016. [non-gated working paper]

Take what you can: property rights, contestability and conflict, joint with Samuel Marden, Economic Journal, Volume 127, Issue 601, 757–783, May 2017. [non-gated working paper]

On the Comparative Advantage of U.S.Manufacturing: Evidence from the Shale Gas Revolution, joint Rabah Arezki and Frank Pisch, Journal of International Economics, Volume 107, 34–59, July 2017. [non-gated working paper]

Who Voted for Brexit? A Comprehensive District-Level Analysis, joint with Sascha Becker and Dennis Novy, Economic Policy,Volume 32, 601–650, October 2017. [non-gated working paper]

Market Structure and Borrower Welfare in Microfinance, joint with Jon de Quidt and Maitreesh Ghatak, BREAD Working Paper No. 360, conditionally accepted, Economic Journal. [non-gated working paper]

More than An Urban Legend: Power Rationing, Fertility and the Long run Effects on Mothers, joint with Amar Shanghavi and Oliver Pardo, CEP Discussion Paper No 1247, forthcoming, Journal of Population Economics. [non-gated working paper] 

Working Papers

Social Insurance and Conflict: Evidence from India, EOPP Working Paper 53, a previous version is circulating under the title Can Workfare Programs Moderate Violence? Evidence from India, submitted.

Commercialization and the Decline of Joint Liability Microcredit, joint with Jon de Quidt and Maitreesh Ghatak, ThRed Working Paper 58, revise and resubmit, Journal of Development Economics.

Fracking Growth, CEP Discussion Paper No 1278.

Did Eastern European immigration cause an increase in anti-European sentiment in the UK?, joint with Sascha Becker, CAGE Working Paper 306.

What happens to cities when countries become democratic?, joint with Vernon Henderson, Dzhamilya Nigmatulina, and Amar Shanghavi. World Bank Working Paper 23398.

Can democracy moderate resource-induced conflicts?, joint with Stephan Kyburz. HiCN Working Paper.

Security Transitions, joint with Oliver Vanden Eynde and Austin Wright, Working Paper.

Work in Progress

Cabinet Ministers, joint with Rabah Arezki, funded by IGC State Effectiveness Grant.

The Costly Quest to Democracy: Evidence from the Arab Spring, joint with Tim Besley and Hannes Mueller, funded by IGC State Effectiveness Grant.

Decentralization and State Capacity: Evidence from Brasil, joint with Fernanda Brollo, Joana Naritomi, and Samuel Marden.

Estimating the Fertility Effects of the Zika Scare: Evidence from Brasil, joint with Francisco Costa and Francisco Filho.

Can trust be built through citizen monitoring of police activity?, joint with Pedro CL Souza, funded by a UC Berkeley EGAP grant.

Exploring Fixed Cost in Female Hiring: The Role of Adjustment Costs and Cultural Barriers in Women’s Employment, joint with Saleh Aladoyani, Claudia Eger, Jennifer Peck and Mehmet Seflek, funded by a Harvard Kennedy School EPoD grant.

Trading off Patronage? Evidence from US ambassadorial appointments, joint with Guo Xu.

(Not) Fighting together? Evidence from the NATO in Afghanistan, joint with Austin Wright and Oliver Vanden Eynde.

The Persistent Effects of Private versus Colonial Rule: Evidence from 19th Century Indonesia, joint with Priya Mukherjee.

Grievances in Civil War: Evidence from Afghanistan.

Main Grants

The Evidence in Governance and Politics Network (EGAP), University of California, Berkeley, “Can Trust be Built through Citizen Monitoring of Police Activity?” (Co-PI, USD 239,764), with Pedro Souza, May 2017.

Evidence for Policy Design, Harvard Kennedy School, “Exploring Fixed Costs in Female Hiring: The Role of Adjustment Costs and Cultural Barriers in Women's Employment”, (Co-PI, USD 99,000), with Jennifer Peck, Claudia Eger, and Mehmet Seflek, May 2017.

International Growth Centre State Effectiveness Program (Co-PI, GBP 40,000), “Tourism and Violence”, joint with Tim Besley and Hannes Mueller, June 2016.

International Labor Organization - World Bank Joint Grant (Co PI, USD 250,000), “Public Works and Welfare: A Randomized Control Trial of Egypt’s Emergency Employment and Investment Project”, joint with Claudia Eger, Eric Mvukiyehe, Furio Rosatti and Jacob de Hoop, December 2015.

International Growth Centre State Effectiveness Program (PI, GBP 29,000), “Executive Branch Turnover, Policy Uncertainty and Growth”, joint with Rabah Arezki, November 2015.