The forecast outputs below are based on weather data collected by Plantsystems Limited and funded by Syngenta. The forecasts predict the timing of fly activity. They do not predict the number of insects present in the crop, as this depends on the size of the local fly population. For control purposes, we consider that the pest has become active when 10% of the insects have emerged/laid eggs and that the peak of activity has occurred when 50% have emerged/laid eggs. The predictions will change over time depending on weather conditions.

Third generation flies are likely to emerge in early to mid-September at the warmest sites.

Updated 29 September 2022