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Carrot fly forecast 2023

The forecast outputs below are based on weather data provided by Agrii. The forecasts predict the timing of fly activity. They do not predict the number of insects present in the crop, as this depends on the size of the local fly population. For control purposes, we consider that the pest has become active when 10% of the insects have emerged/laid eggs and that the peak of activity has occurred when 50% have emerged/laid eggs. The predictions will change over time depending on weather conditions.

Location

First generation

50% eggs

Second generation

10% emergence

Second generation

10% eggs

Second generation

50% eggs

Third generation

10% emergence

Cornwall - Hayle

18 May

11 July

19 Jul

4 Aug

23 Sep

Kent - Sandwich

17 May

13 July

20 Jul

3 Aug

22 Sep

Suffolk - Ipswich

20 May

16 July

25 Jul

7 Aug

26 Sep

Warwick, Wellesbourne

20 May

11 July

19 Jul

3 Aug

22 Sep

Norfolk, Norwich

25 May

18 July

25 Jul

10 Aug

27 Sep

Lincolnshire - Holbeach

22 May

19 July

27 Jul

9 Aug

26 Sep

Nottingham - Stubton

12 May

10 July

17 Jul

1 Aug

20 Sep

Lancashire, Southport

31 May

20 July

31 Jul

13 Aug

5 Oct

Yorkshire, York

22 May

16 July

25 Jul

11 Aug

26 Sep

Perthshire, Scotland

26 May

24 July

1 Aug

18 Aug

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