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Carrot fly forecast 2025

The forecast outputs below are based on weather data provided by Agrii. The forecasts predict the timing of fly activity. They do not predict the number of insects present in the crop, as this depends on the size of the local fly population. For control purposes, we consider that the pest has become active when 10% of the insects have emerged/laid eggs and that the peak of activity has occurred when 50% have emerged/laid eggs. The predictions will change over time depending on weather conditions.

Updated 16 May 2025

Location

First generation

10% emergence

First generation

10% eggs

First generation

50% eggs

Cornwall - Hayle

11 Apr 28 Apr 11 May

Kent - Sandwich

13 Apr 30 Apr 14 May

Suffolk - Ipswich

14 Apr 3 May 19 May

Warwick, Wellesbourne

15 Apr 30 Apr 19 May

Norfolk, Norwich

25 Apr 5 May 20 May

Lincolnshire - Holbeach

15 Apr 30 Apr 13 May

Nottingham - Stubton

12 Apr 27 Apr 9 May

Lancashire, Southport

18 Apr 1 May 20 May

Yorkshire, York

14 Apr 1 May 15 May

Perthshire, Scotland

19 Apr 5 May 23 May