All talks will take place in Room B3.03 in the Zeeman (Mathematics) building

Monday 04 July

• 10:30 - 11:20 Registration (Room B1.37) and coffee (Mathematics Institute Common Room)
• 11:20 - 11:30 Welcome from the organisers
• 11:30 - 12:15 Tim Palmer (Oxford)
  • Can We Perform Extreme Event Attribution with the Current Generation of Climate Models?
• 12:15 - 13:00 Valery Nakariakov (Warwick)
  • Extreme phenomena in the solar atmosphere
• 13:00 - 14:00 Lunch - Mathematics Institute Common Room
• 14:00 - 14:45 Ted Shepherd (Reading)
  • Atmospheric circulation, climate change, and extremes
• 14:45 - 15:30 Gavin Esler (UCL)
  • Extreme events in atmospheric transport problems
• 15:30 - 16:15 Coffee break - Mathematics Institute Common Room
• 16:15 - 17:00 Tony Lelievre (ENPC)
  • The parallel replica algorithm: mathematical foundations and recent developments
• 17:00 - 18:30 Wine reception - Mathematics Institute Common Room

Tuesday 05 July

• 10:15 - 11:00 Tom Knutson (NOAA)
  
  • Hurricanes and Global Warming
• 11:00 - 11:30 Coffee break - Mathematics Institute Common Room
• 11:30 - 12:15 Jason Laurie (Aston)
  • A large deviation approach for computing rare transitions in multi-stable stochastic turbulent flows
• 12:15 -13:00 Freddy Bouchet (ENS-Lyon)
  • Introduction to large deviation theory and applications to climate dynamics
• 13:00 - 14:00 Lunch - Mathematics Institute Common Room
• 14:00 - 14:45 Michael Tippett (Columbia)
  • Characterizing hazardous convective weather risk
• 14:45 - 15:30 Frank Kwasniok (Exeter)
  • Data-driven prediction of extremes and critical transitions in weather and climate science
• 15:30 - 16:15 Coffee break - Mathematics Institute Common Room
• 16:15 - 17:00 Daan Crommelin (Amsterdam)
  • Efficient sampling of rare events by splitting

Wednesday 06 July

• 09:30 - 10:15 Michael Wilkinson (Open University)
  • Using large deviation theory to understand rain showers
• 10:15 - 11:00 Charles-Edouard Bréhier (Lyon)
  • Mathematical analysis of Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithms
• 11:00 - 11:30 Coffee break - Mathematics Institute Common Room
• 11:30 - 12:15 Xiang Zhou (City University of Hong Kong)
  • Recent Development of Numerical Methods for Transition Path and Transition State
• 12:15 - 13:00 Eric Simonnet (Nice)
  • Computation of rare transitions between turbulent atmospheric jets
• 13:00 - 14:00 Lunch - Mathematics Institute Common Room
• 14:00 - 14:45 Pascal Yiou (LSCE)
  • Weather generators to separate dynamical and thermodynamical contributions in climate event attribution
• 14:45 - 15:30 Francesco Ragone (Hamburg and ENS-Lyon)
  • Simulation of heat waves in climate models using large deviation algorithms
• 15:30 - 16:15 Coffee break - Mathematics Institute Common Room
• 16:15 - 17:00 -
• 19:00 - 21:30 Conference Dinner

Thursday 07 July

• 10:15 - 11:00 Tobias Grafke (NYU)
  • Noise-induced transitions between meta-stable atmospheric jet configurations
• 11:00 - 11:30 Coffee break - Mathematics Institute Common Room
• 11:30 - 12:15 Abdel Hannachi (Stockholm)
  • Combining intermittency, autoregression and censoring to model daily precipitation
• 12:15 - 13:00 Robert Kerr (Warwick)
  • Tools for identifying resolved-scale turbulence in convection simulations
• 13:00 - 14:00 Lunch - Mathematics Institute Common Room
• 14:00 - 14:45 Alexey Slunyaev (Nizhny Novgorod)
  • Rogue waves and coherent patterns
• 14:45 - 15:30 Joran Rolland (Frankfurt)
  • Studying transient turbulence in a model of Boundary layer type flow
• 15:30 - 16:15 Coffee break - Mathematics Institute Common Room
• 16:15 - 17:00 Efim Pelinovsky (Nizhny Novgorod)
  • Tsunamis of meteoric origin

Friday 08 July

• 10:15 - 11:00 Alexandra Tzella (Birmingham)
  • Dispersion in rectangular networks: effective diffusivity and large-deviation rate function
• 11:00 - 11:30 Coffee break - Mathematics Institute Common Room
• 11:30 - 12:15 Francesco Fedele (Georgia Tech)
  • Real world ocean rogue waves explained without the modulational instability
• 12:15 - 13:00 Colm Connaughton (Warwick)
  • Fluxes, fluctuations and coherent structures in two-dimensional hydrodynamic models
• 13:00 - 14:00 Lunch - Mathematics Institute Common Room
• 14:00 - 14:45 Michael Wehner (Laurence Berkeley National Laboratory)
  • Very extreme event attribution
• 14:45 - 15:30 Ira Didenkulova (Tallinn)
  • Rogue waves in the coastal zone
• 15:30 - 16:00 Coffee break - Mathematics Institute Common Room