Ian Hamilton
I am an honorary fellow in the Department of Statistics at the University of Warwick, having completed a PhD in Statistics under the supervision of Doctor Nick Tawn and Professor David Firth
My research focuses on ranking based on pairwise comparison. Outside of statistics, I have interests in sport, economics, politics, finance, energy, organisational culture, philosophy and education, and am always on the look out for how my research can intersect with these areas.
Prior to embarking on a PhD, I completed an MSc in Statistics at the University of Warwick, having returned to study after a career as a Foreign Exchange trader in London and Singapore. I hold a BA in Mathematical Sciences from the University of Oxford.
Work
- "The intransitivity of 'better than' in competitive sport and elsewhere" - Nov 2021
- "Principled ranking and why the NCAA have got it wrong" - Oct 2021, co-authored with Dr Aaron Harper
- "The many routes to the ubiquitous Bradley-Terry model" - Sep 2021
- "Investigating the 'old boy network' using latent space models" - Dec 2020
- "Retrodictive modelling of modern rugby union - extension of Bradley-Terry to multiple outcomes" - Aug 2020
- "Daily Mail Trophy Ranking Methodology" - March 2019 - a consultative report for the organisers of the Daily Mail Trophy
- "Ranking in Schools Rugby" - August 2018 - MSc Dissertation
Presentations
- "Predicting the past (and the future) in sport using the Bradley-Terry model" - Jan 2022 - a presentation to the Warwick Statistics Society.
- "How to predict Euro 2020 with 120 data points and two linear regressions" - Sep 2021 - a presentation at the Royal Statistical Society International Conference, Manchester.
- "Sports ranking - in practice and in principle" - Jun 2021 - a presentation to the Warwick Maths Society at the University of Warwick
- "The many routes to the ubiquitous Bradley-Terry model" - Nov 2020 - a presentation in the form of a quiz to the Young Researchers Meeting (YRM) at the University of Warwick
- "Predicting the past: a retrodictive model for modern rugby union" - Feb 2020 - a presentation to the Statistics, Probability and Applied Mathematics (SPAAM) seminar at University of Warwick
- "Retrodictive modeling of modern rugby union" - September 2019 - a poster presented at NESSIS 2019
- "Ranking methodologies (and a few extra bits)" - November 2018 - a presentation to the Young Researchers Meeting (YRM) at University of Warwick, introducing myself and my MSc work
Roles
- Member - Statistics PhD Staff Student Liaison Committee (2021-2022)
- Chair - Statistics PhD Staff Student Liaison Committee (2020-2021)
- Treasurer - Royal Statistical Society, West Midlands Local Group (2020-present)
- Honorary Secretary - Royal Statistical Society, West Midlands Local Group (2018-2020)
- MSc Statistics course representative (2017/18)
Teaching
- Brilliant Tutoring Programme (T2 2020/21)
- ST219 Mathematical Statistics B (T2 2020/21)
- ST116 Mathematical Techniques (T1 2020/21)
- ST111 / 112 Probability A&B (T2 2019/20)
- ST301/413 Bayesian Decision Analysis (T1 2019/20)
- Widening Participation programme (Summer 2019)
- ST111 / 112 Probability A&B (T2 2018/19)
- ST116 Mathematical Techniques (T1 2018/19)
Miscellaeous projects
- "A comparison of university and school tutorial teaching" - Nov 2021, Journal of Postgraduate Pedagogical Practice
- University of Warwick Student Enterprise Fund award recipient - Jul 2021 - business proposal based on a novel combined approach to appraisal and organisational network analysis in large organisations
- Runner-up, Royal Statistical Society Euro 2020 Prediction Competition - Jun 2021 - prediction model based on the use of public betting odds and insights from the Bradley-Terry model (joint work with Dr David Selby and Dr. Stefan Stein)
- Winner, Productivity and the Futures of Work GRP essay competition - May 2021 - personal reflection investigating the interconnected productivities in our lives and what they might mean for the future of productivity at work
