Carmen Villa Llera
Contact details
Email: carmen.villa-llera@warwick.ac.uk
Office hours
By appointment (via email)
Visit my personal websiteLink opens in a new window
Known as Carmen Villa
I am an applied microeconomist working on topics in public economics and on law and economics. My work focuses on the impact of public policies on youth development and crime.
I am on the Job Market in 2024/2025.
Visit my personal website for more information on my academic research and policy work.
Job Market Paper
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The Effects of Youth Clubs on Education and CrimeLink opens in a new window
Youth clubs are community-based after-school programmes typically offered free of charge to teenagers in underprivileged neighbourhoods. I provide the first causal estimates of their effects on education and crime, leveraging quasi-experimental variation from austerity-related cuts, which led to the closure of 30% of youth clubs in London between 2010 and 2019. I use difference-in-differences research designs and novel data to compare neighbourhoods affected by closures with those unaffected. Teenagers in areas affected performed nearly 4% worse in national high-school exams. Youths aged 10 to 17 became 14% more likely to commit crimes. Youth clubs provide key support in a lasting manner, particularly to teenagers from low-income backgrounds. The effects are due to youth clubs offering unique amenities that support positive behaviours rather than mere incapacitation. Closing youth clubs was not cost-effective; for every £1 saved from closures, there are associated losses of nearly £3 due to forgone returns to education and crime costs.
Runner up for Best Paper at Royal Economic Society PhD Conference 2023
Selected for the EALE Tour 2025
Coverage: VoXEU, The GuardianLink opens in a new window, BBC News, Evening Standard, The Independent
Publications
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Specialised Courts and the Reporting of Intimate Partner Violence: Evidence from Spain with J. Garcia-Hombrados and M. Martinez-Matute - Journal of Public Economics (2024)
Working papers and work in progress
- Gangs of London: Public Housing, Bombs, and Crime with R. Disney, T. Kirchmaier and S. Machin. Coverage: BBC World News, LSE IQ Podcast, The Economist
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Minimum Legal Drinking Age and Educational Outcomes - with M. Bagues
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Money for nothing? Short- and long-run effects of paying disadvantaged teenagers in full-time education - with J. Britton, N. Ridpath, and B. Waltmann
References
Manuel Bagues (University of Warwick)
Mirko Draca (University of Warwick)
Jeff Grogger (University of Chicago)
Marta Santamaria (University of Warwick)