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Carmen Villa Llera

Known as Carmen Villa

I am an applied microeconomist working on topics in public economics and on law and economics. My work focuses on the impact of public policies on youth development and crime.

I am on the Job Market in 2024/2025.

Visit my personal website for more information on my academic research and policy work.

www.carmenvilla.net


Job Market Paper

  • The Effects of Youth Clubs on Education and CrimeLink opens in a new window

    Youth clubs are community-based after-school programmes typically offered free of charge to teenagers in underprivileged neighbourhoods. I provide the first causal estimates of their effects on education and crime, leveraging quasi-experimental variation from austerity-related cuts, which led to the closure of 30% of youth clubs in London between 2010 and 2019. I use difference-in-differences research designs and novel data to compare neighbourhoods affected by closures with those unaffected. Teenagers in areas affected performed nearly 4% worse in national high-school exams. Youths aged 10 to 17 became 14% more likely to commit crimes. Youth clubs provide key support in a lasting manner, particularly to teenagers from low-income backgrounds. The effects are due to youth clubs offering unique amenities that support positive behaviours rather than mere incapacitation. Closing youth clubs was not cost-effective; for every £1 saved from closures, there are associated losses of nearly £3 due to forgone returns to education and crime costs.

    IFS Working Paper 24/51

    Runner up for Best Paper at Royal Economic Society PhD Conference 2023

    Selected for the EALE Tour 2025

    Coverage: VoXEU, The GuardianLink opens in a new window, BBC News, Evening Standard, The Independent


Publications


Working papers and work in progress


References

Manuel Bagues (University of Warwick)

Mirko Draca (University of Warwick)

Jeff Grogger (University of Chicago)

Marta Santamaria (University of Warwick)