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Thiemo Fetzer

Contact details

Telephone: +44 (0)24 765 22919

Email: T dot Fetzer at warwick dot ac dot uk

Room: S0.66

Advice and feedback hours: [Monday 3pm - 5 pm]

Google Scholar profile

Associate Professor

Thiemo Fetzer is an Associate Professor in the Economics department at the University of Warwick and a Visiting Fellow at the London School of Economics.

Thiemo's research has been featured in the New York Times, the Washington Post, the Guardian, Foreign Policy, Le Monde, and the Financial Times. He is also affiliated with the Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), the Centre for Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) at University of Warwick and the Spatial Economics Research Centre (SERC) at London School of Economics, CESifo, and the Pearson Institute at University of Chicago.

Personal Website with detailed list of publications.


London School of Economics, London, United Kingdom

Ph.D., Economics, 2015

M.Res., Economics, June 2010

M.Sc., Economics,with Distinction, June 2009

Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Germany

B.Sc., Management and Economics, June 2008, with Distinction

Part-undergraduate degree in Mathematics


  1. The Welfare Cost of Lawlessness: Evidence from Somali Piracy, joint with Tim Besley and Hannes-Felix Mueller. Journal of the European Economics Association, Volume 13, Issue 2, pages 203 - 239, April 2015.
    Broader coverage: Washington Post, Financial Times, Foreign Policy, VoxEU, IGC, Quartz.
    Replication files
  2. Group Lending Without Joint Liability, joint with Jon de Quidt and Maitreesh Ghatak. In Journal of Development Economics, pages 217-236, May 2016.
  3. Take what you can: property rights, contestability and conflict, joint with Samuel Marden, Economic Journal, Volume 127, Issue 601, 757–783, May 2017.
    Non-technical summary: Vox Lacea
    Replication files
  4. On the Comparative Advantage of U.S. Manufacturing: Evidence from the Shale Gas Revolution, joint with Rabah Arezki and Frank Pisch, Journal of International Economics, Volume 107, 34–59, July 2017.
    Non-technical summary: US Politics and Economics
  5. Who Voted for Brexit? A Comprehensive District-Level Analysis, joint with Sascha Becker and Dennis Novy, Economic Policy, 32(92), 601--650, October 2017.
    Broader coverage: The Guardian, El Diario, Indy 100, Folha de S.Paulo, The Canary, Le Monde, The Economist, Modkraft, New York Times.
    Non-technical summary: LSE Politics, VoxEU
    Replication files
  6. Market Structure and Borrower Welfare in Microfinance, joint with Jon de Quidt and Maitreesh Ghatak, Economic Journal,Volume128, Issue610 May 2018 Pages 1019-1046.
    Replication files
  7. More than an Urban Legend: The long-term socio-economic Effects of Unplanned Fertility Shocks, joint with Amar Shanghavi and Oliver Pardo, Journal of Population Economics, October 2018, Volume 31, Issue 4, pp 1125–1176.
    Broader coverage: Centre Piece
  8. Commercialization and the Decline of Joint Liability Microcredit joint with Jon de Quidt and Maitreesh Ghatak, Journal of Development Economics, Volume 134, September 2018, Pages 209-225.
    Replication files
  9. Who Voted for Brexit? Individual and Regional Data Combined, joint with Eleonora Alabrese, Sascha Becker and Dennis Novy, European Journal of Political Economy, Volume 56, January 2019, Pages 132-150.
  10. Did Austerity Cause Brexit?, CAGE Working Paper, 2018, forthcoming, American Economic Review.
    Broader coverage: 20Minutes, Apache, AlJazeera, Alternatives Economiques, Atlantico, Bloomberg, Barrons, Brookings, BoingBoing, Canary, City AM, De Groene Amsterdammer, De Morgen, De Standard, ElDiario, ElDiario Sur, Expansion, Express (1), Express (2), Financial Times, L'Adige, Merkur, The Guardian (1), The Guardian (2), The Guardian (3), The Herald, The London Economic, The National, Holyrood, Huffington Post, Independent, iNews, Le Monde, New York Times (1), New York Times (2), Pacific Standard Magazine, Spiegel Online,, The Conversation, The New European, The Times (1), The Times (2), The Week Magazine, Wall Street Journal. Zeit Online.
    Non-technical summaries: LSE Brexit, VoxEU, INET, Social Market Foundation, UK in a Changing Europe, The Conversation.
  11. Can Workfare Programs Moderate Violence? Evidence from India, CAGE Working Paper, 2019, forthcoming, Journal of the European Economics Association.
    Broader coverage: The World Bank, Feature Story, International Growth Centre, Ideas for India, India at LSE

Working Papers

  1. Fracking Growth, CEP Working Paper 1278, 2014.
    Broader Coverage: RES, Britain in 2015, LSE United States Politics Blog
  2. Has Eastern European Migration Impacted British Workers?, joint with Sascha O Becker, CAGE Working Paper, 2018.
    Broader coverage: The Conversation
  3. Cohesive Institutions and Political Violence, joint with Stephan Kyburz, CAGE Working Paper, 2018.
    Broader coverage: Center for Global Development
  4. Security Transitions, joint with Oliver Vanden Eynde and Austin L Wright, CAGE Working Paper, 2018.
  5. Who is NOT voting for Brexit anymore? joint with Eleonora Alabrese, CESifo Working Paper, 2018.
    Broader Coverage: Business Insider, Grazia, The Independent, New York Times.
  6. Tariffs and Politics: Evidence from Trump's Trade Wars, joint with Carlo Schwarz, CEPR Working Paper 13579, 2019.
    Broader Coverage: Alternatives Economiques, El Mundo, Financial Post, Financial Times (Chinese), Frankfurter Allgemeine, Handelsblatt, iconomix, La Repubblica, The Economist, World Economic Forum, Forbes.
    Non-technical summary: USAPP, VoxEU

Retired Papers

  1. Did Eastern European immigration cause an increase in anti-European sentiment in the UK?, joint with Sascha O Becker.
  2. Why an EU Referendum? Why in 2016?, joint with Sascha O Becker.

Main Grants

The Evidence in Governance and Politics Network (EGAP), University of California, Berkeley, “Can Trust be Built through Citizen Monitoring of Police Activity?” (Co-PI, USD 239,764), with Pedro Souza, May 2017.

Evidence for Policy Design, Harvard Kennedy School, “Exploring Fixed Costs in Female Hiring: The Role of Adjustment Costs and Cultural Barriers in Women's Employment”, (Co-PI, USD 99,000), with Jennifer Peck, Claudia Eger, and Mehmet Seflek, May 2017.

International Growth Centre State Effectiveness Program (Co-PI, GBP 40,000), “Tourism and Violence”, joint with Tim Besley and Hannes Mueller, June 2016.

International Labor Organization - World Bank Joint Grant (Co PI, USD 250,000), “Public Works and Welfare: A Randomized Control Trial of Egypt’s Emergency Employment and Investment Project”, joint with Claudia Eger, Eric Mvukiyehe, Furio Rosatti and Jacob de Hoop, December 2015.

International Growth Centre State Effectiveness Program (PI, GBP 29,000), “Executive Branch Turnover, Policy Uncertainty and Growth”, joint with Rabah Arezki, November 2015.