Other News
How To Predict Election Results
Andreas Murr has published an article in the British Journal of Political Science on why vote expectations are a better tool for predicting election results than vote intentions.
The results of the article are summarised in a post on the LSE's British Politics and Policy Blog.
New Articles on US Foreign Policy by Georg Löfflmann
Georg Löfflmann has published a new article, "The Obama Doctrine and Military Intervention" in a special issue on US foreign policy in the journal Perceptions: Journal of International Affairs (open access). The article is available here: http://sam.gov.tr/tr/perceptions-spring-summer-2019/
Also available online is the article "From the Obama Doctrine to America First: The erosion of the Washington consensus on grand strategy," which was published in International Politics. The article is available here: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1057%2Fs41311-019-00172-0.
Gabriel Siles-Brügge addresses NATO Parliamentary Assembly Committee
PAIS academic Gabriel Siles-Brügge recently addressed a session of the NATO Parliamentary Assembly's Economics and Security Committee taking place at the Assembly's 65th Annual Session in London on 12 October 2019. Addressing MPs from NATO countries, he spoke about the constraints facing the UK's 'Global Britain' agenda in trade policy, including: uncertainty over the future EU-UK trade relationship; domestic political contention and Executive-legislative tensions and an unfavourable international policy environment in the wake of increasing US unilateralism.
New articles on democracy in Latin America by Tom Long
Tom Long published two articles on the regional promotion of democracy in Latin America. Both were written the historian Max Paul Friedman and draw on their recent research. Long and Friedman explore the history of regional efforts to advance and defend democracy, particularly a 1945 proposal called the Larreta Doctrine.
The first new article was published in the policy journal Americas Quarterly. It is titled 'Latin America Already Has a Model to Solve Venezuela."
It can be found here: https://www.americasquarterly.org/content/latin-america-already-has-model-solve-venezuela
The second was published in La Diaria in Uruguay, in Spanish: 'Democracia en peligro en América Latina: ¿reanimar la Doctrina Larreta?'
It is available here: https://findesemana.ladiaria.com.uy/articulo/2019/9/democracia-en-peligro-en-america-latina-reanimar-la-doctrina-larreta/
The underlying research was published in the journal Perspectives on Politics. That article, "The Promise of Precommitment in Democracy and Human Rights: The Hopeful, Forgotten Failure of the Larreta Doctrine," is available open access until 1 November here: https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/perspectives-on-politics/article/promise-of-precommitment-in-democracy-and-human-rights-the-hopeful-forgotten-failure-of-the-larreta-doctrine/61FAF29CE66955B2797DF473A6BED176