Publications

Peer-reviewed publications during my independent research career:

1. R E Crump, M Aliee, S A Sutherland, C Huang, E H Crowley, S E F Spencer, E M Miaka, C Shampa, M J Keeling, K S Rock. “Estimating timelines to elimination of sleeping sickness in the DRC accounting for possible cryptic human and animal infection: A modelling study”. Parasites & Vectors 17 (2024)

2. C N Davis, R Crump, S A Sutherland, S E F Spencer, A Corbella, C Shampa, J Lebuki, E M Miaka, K S Rock. “Comparison of stochastic and deterministic models for gambiense sleeping sickness at different spatial scales: A health area analysis in the DRC”. PLoS Comput. Biol. (2024)

3. K S Rock, L A C Chapman, A P Dobson, E R Adams, T D Hollingsworth. “The hidden hand of asymptomatic infection hinders control of neglected tropical diseases”. Clin. Infect. Dis. (2024) Volume 78, S175–S182

4. A Vasconcelos, J D King, C Nunes-Alves, R Anderson, D Argaw, M-G Basáñez, S Bilal, D J Blok, S Blumberg, A Borlase, O J Brady, R Browning, N Chitnis, L E Coffeng, E H Crowley, Z M Cucunubá, D A T Cummings, C N Davis, E L Davis, M Dixon, A Dobson, L Dyson, Michael French, C Fronterre, E Giorgi, C Huang, S Jain, A James, S H Kim, K Kura, A Lucianez, M Marks, P S Mbabazi, G F Medley, E Michael, A Montresor, N Mutono, T S Mwangi, K S Rock, M-I Saboyá-Díaz, M Sasanami, M Schwehm, S E F Spencer, A Srivathsan, R S Stawski, W A Stolk, S A Sutherland, L-A Tchuem Tchuenté, S J de Vlas, M Walker, S J Brooker, T D Hollingsworth, A W Solomon, I Socé Fall. "Accelerating progress towards the 2030 neglected tropical diseases targets: how can quantitative modeling support programmatic decisions?" Clinical Infectious Diseases 78, no. Supplement_2 (2024): S83-S92.

5. D Kaba, M Koffi, L Kouakou, E K N’Gouan, V Djohan, F Courtin, M K N’Djetchi, B Coulibaly, D Berté, B T D Ta, M Koné, S A Sutherland, R E Crump, C Huang, J Madan, P Bessell, P Solano, K S Rock*, V Jamonneau*. “Towards the sustainable elimination of human African trypanosomiasis in Côte d’Ivoire using an integrated approach”. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis. (2023)17(7): e0011514

6. M Antillon, C Huang, S A Sutherland, R E Crump, P R Bessell, A P Shaw, P Solano, I Tirados, A Picado, S Biéler, P E Brown, S Mbainda, J Darnas, X Wang-Steverding, E H Crowley, M Peka, F Tediosi, K S Rock. “Health economic evaluation of strategies to eliminate gambiense human African trypanosomiasis in the Mandoul disease focus of Chad”. PLoS Neg. Trop. Dis. (2023) 17(7): e0011396

7. C Huang, R E Crump, E H Crowley, A Hope, P R Bessell, C Shampa, E M Miaka, K S Rock. “A modelling assessment of short- and medium-term risks of programme interruptions for gambiense human African trypanosomiasis in the DRC”. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis. (2023) 17(4): e0011299

8. A Borlase, E A Le Rutte, S Castaño, D J Blok, J Toor, NTD Modelling Consortium [including K S Rock], F Giardina, E L Davis. “Evaluating and mitigating the potential indirect impact of COVID-19: a modelling study of programme interruptions for seven neglected tropical diseases”. Lancet Glob. Health (2022) 10(11), e1600-e1611.

9. M A Iacovidou, P Barreaux, M B Thomas, E G Gorsich, K S Rock. “Omitting age-dependent mosquito mortality in malaria models underestimates the effectiveness of insecticide-treated nets”. PLoS Comp. Biol. (2022)18(9):e1009540

10. R E Crump, C Huang, S E F Spencer, P E Brown, E M Miaka, S Chancy, M J Keeling, K S Rock. “Modelling to infer the role of animals in gambiense human African trypanosomiasis transmission and elimination in DRC”. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis. (2022) 16(7): e0010599

11. J Clark, W A Stock, M-G Basañez, L E Coffeng, Z M Cucunubá, M Dixon, L Dyson, K Hampson, M Marks, G Medley, T M Pollington, J M Prada, K S Rock, H Salje, J Toor, T D Hollingsworth. “How modelling can help steer the course set by the World Health Organization 2021-2030 roadmap on neglected tropical diseases” [version 2; peer review: 2 approved]. Gates Open Res. (2022), 5:112

12. C Huang, R E Crump, P Brown, S E F Spencer, E Mwamba Miaka, M J Keeling, K S Rock. “Identifying target regions for enhanced control in DRC using modelling projections”. Nat. Commun. (2022) 13, 1448

13. M Antillon, C Huang, R E Crump, P E Brown, R Snijders, E Mwamba Miaka, K S Rock* and F Tedisoi*. “Cost-effectiveness of sleeping sickness elimination campaigns in five settings of the Democratic Republic of Congo”. Nat. Commun. (2022) 13, 1051

14. K S Rock, C Huang, R E Crump, P R Bessell, P E Brown, I Tirados, P Solano, M Antillon, A Picado, S Mbainda, J Darnas, E H Crowley, S J Torr, M Peka. “Update of transmission modelling and projections of gambiense human African trypanosomiasis in the Mandoul focus, Chad”. Infect. Dis. Poverty (2022) 11 (11)

15. M Antillon, Ching-I Huang, K S Rock*, F Tediosi*. “The economic premium for elimination in the face of uncertainty: An extension to the net benefits framework and an application to human African trypanosomiasis end-game programs”. PNAS (2021) 118 (50) e2026797118

16. C N Davis, M J Keeling, K S Rock. “Modelling gambiense human African trypanosomiasis infection in villages using Kolmogorov forward equations”. J. R. Soc. Interface (2021)18:20210419

17. M Aliee, M J Keeling, K S Rock. “Modelling to explore the potential impact of asymptomatic human infections on transmission and dynamics of African sleeping sickness”. PLoS Comp. Biol. (2021) 17(9): e1009367

18. C N Davis, M S Castaño, M Aliee, S Patel, E M Miaka, M J Keeling, S E F Spencer, N Chitnis, K S Rock. “Modelling to quantify the likelihood that local elimination of transmission has occurred using routine gambiense human African trypanosomiasis surveillance data”. Clin. Infect. Dis. (2021); ciab190,

19. M Aliee, M S Castaño, C N Davis, S Patel, E M Miaka, S E F Spencer, M J Keeling, N Chitnis, K S Rock. “Predicting the impact of COVID-19 interruptions on transmission of gambiense human African trypanosomiasis in two health zones of the Democratic Republic of Congo”. Trans. R. Soc. of Trop. Med. Hyg.(2021),Volume 115, Issue 3, Pages 245–252

20. C N Davis, K S Rock, E Mwamba Miaka, M J Keeling. “Optimising active screening for gambiense human African trypanosomiasis”. BMC Med. (2021) 19, 86.

21. R E Crump, C Huang, E Knock, S E F Spencer, P Brown, E Mwamba Miaka, S Chancy, M J Keeling, K S Rock. “Quantifying epidemiological drivers of gambiense human African trypanosomiasis across the Democratic Republic of Congo”. PLoS Comp. Biol. (2021) 17(1): e1008532.

22. M Aliee, K S Rock, M J Keeling. “Estimating the time to extinction of infectious diseases in mean-field approaches”. J. R. Soc. Interface (2020)

23. J Toor, E R Adams, M Aliee, B Amoah, R M Anderson, D Ayabina, R Bailey, M-G Basáñez, D J Blok, S Blumberg, A Borlase, R C Rivera, M S Castaño, N Chitnis, L E Coffeng, R E Crump, A Das, C N Davis, E L Davis, M S Deiner, P J Diggle, C Fronterre, F Giardina, E Giorgi, M Graham, J I D Hamley, C Huang, K Kura, T M Lietman, T C D Lucas, V Malizia, G F Medley, A Meeyai, E Michael, T C Porco, J M Prada, K S Rock, E A Le Rutte, M E Smith, S E F Spencer, W A Stolk, P Touloupou, A Vasconcelos, C Vegvari, S J de Vlas, M Walker, T D Hollingsworth. “Predicted impact of COVID-19 on neglected tropical disease programs and the opportunity of innovation”. Clin. Infect. Dis. (2020), ciaa933

24. M Geerts, N Van Reet, S Leyten, R Berghmans, K S Rock, T H T Coetzer, L E-A Eyssen, P Büscher. “Trypanosoma brucei gambiense-iELISA: a promising new test for the post-elimination monitoring of human African trypanosomiasis”. Clin. Infect. Dis. (2020), ciaa1264,

25. C N Davis, K S Rock, M J Keeling. “Human African trypanosomiasis: current status and eradication efforts.” CAB Reviews, 2020 15, 028 pp1-11

26. S English, A M G Barreaux, M B Bonsall, J W Hargrove, M J Keeling, K S Rock, G A Vale. “Incorporating vector ecology and life history into disease transmission models: insights from tsetse (Glossina spp.)” Chapter in Population Biology of Vector-Borne Diseases. OUP (2019).

27. S Castaño*, M L Ndeffo-Mbah*, K S Rock*, C Palmer*, E Knock, E M Miaka, J M Ndung’u, S J Torr, P Verlé, S E F Spencer, A Galvani, C Bever, M J Keeling, N Chitnis. “Assessing the impact of aggregating disease stage data in model predictions of human African trypanosomiasis transmission and control activities in Bandundu province (DRC)”. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis. (2020) 14, no. 1: e0007976

28. M S Castaño, M Aliee, E M Miaka, M J Keeling, N Chitnis, K S Rock. “Screening strategies for a sustainable endpoint forgambiense sleeping sickness”. J. Infect. Dis. (2020) 221, no. Supplement_5: S539-S545

29. NTD Modelling Consortium Discussion Group on Gambiense Human African Trypanosomiasis (K S Rock, R E Crump, C Davis, M S Castaño, M Antillon, C Huang, M Aliee, F Tediosi, N Chitnis, M J Keeling). “Insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling on the proposed 2030 goal for gambiense human African trypanosomiasis (gHAT)” [version 2; peer review: 2 approved]. Gates Open Res. (2019), 3:1553

30. C N Davis, K S Rock, E M Miaka, M J Keeling. “Village-scale persistence and elimination of gambiense human African trypanosomiasis”. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis. 13.10 (2019): e0007838

31. K S Rock, M L Ndeffo-Mbah, S Castano, C Palmer, A Pandey, K E Atkins, J M Ndung’u, T D Hollingsworth, A Galvani, C Bever, N Chitnis, M J Keeling. “Assessing strategies against gambiense sleeping sickness through mathematical modelling”. Clinical Infectious Diseases (2018), 66(suppl_4), pp.S286-S292

32. P Büscher, J-M Bart, M Boelaert, B Bucheton, G Cecchi, N Chitnis, D Courtin, L M Figueiredo, J-R Franco, P Grébaut, E Hasker, H Ilboudo, V Jamonneau, M Koffi, V Lejon, A MacLeod, J Masumu, E Matovu, R Mattioli, H Noyes, A Picado, K S Rock, B Rotureau, G Simo, S Thevenon, S Trindade, P Truc, N Van Reet. “Cryptic human and animal reservoirs: a threat to the elimination of gambiense-human African trypanosomiasis?” Trends Parasitol. (2018), 34(3), pp.197-207.

33. M H Mahamat, M Peka, J-B Rayaisse, K S Rock, M A Toko, J Darnas, G M Brahim, A B Alkatib, W Yoni, I Tirados, F Courtin, S P C Brand, C Nersy, I O Alfaroukh, S J Torr, M J Lehane, P Solano. “Adding tsetse control to medical activities allows a decrease in transmission of sleeping sickness in the Mandoul focus (Chad)”. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis. 11.7 (2017): e0005792.

Other peer-reviewed publications:

34. K S Rock, A Pandey, M Ndeffo-Mbah, K Atkins, C Lumbala, A Galvani, M J Keeling. “Data-Driven models to predict the elimination of sleeping sickness in former Equateur province of DRC”. Epidemics (2017): 18, 101-112.

35. K S Rock, S J Torr, C Lumbala and M J Keeling. “Predicting the impact of intervention strategies for sleeping sickness in two high-endemicity health zones of the Democratic Republic of Congo”. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 11.1 (2017): e0005162.

36. K S Rock, R J Quinnell, G F Medley, O Courtenay. “Progress in the Mathematical Modelling of Visceral Leishmaniasis”. Advances in Parasitology 97 (2016): 49-131.

37. H Nishiura, K Mizumoto, K S Rock, Y Yasuda, R Kinoshita and Miyamatsu Y. “A theoretical estimate of the risk of microcephaly during pregnancy with Zika virus infection”. Epidemics (2016): 15, 66-70.

38. S Brand, K S Rock and M J Keeling. “The interaction between vector life history and short vector life in vector-borne disease transmission and control”. PLoS Computational Biology 12.4 (2016): e1004837.

39. T D Hollingsworth, E R Adams, R M Anderson, K Atkins, S Bartsch, M-G Basáñez, M Behrend, D J Blok, L A C Chapman, L Coffeng, O Courtenay, R E Crump, S J De Vlas, A Dobson, L Dyson, H Farkas, A P Galvani, M Gambhir, D Gurarie, M A Irvine, S Jervis, M J Keeling, L Kelly-Hope, C King, B Y Lee, E A Le Rutte, T M Lietman, M Ndeffo-Mbah, G F Medley, E Michael, A Pandey, J K Peterson, A Pinsent, T C Porco, J H Richardus, L Reimer, K S Rock, B K Singh, W Stolk, S Swaminathan, S J Torr, J Townsend, J Truscott, M Walker, A Zoueva. "Quantitative analyses and modelling to support achievement of the 2020 goals for nine neglected tropical diseases." Parasites & Vectors 8.1 (2015): 630.

40. K S Rock, S J Torr, C Lumbala and M J Keeling. "Quantitative evaluation of the strategy to eliminate human African trypanosomiasis in the Democratic Republic of Congo." Parasites & Vectors 8.1 (2015): 532.

41. K S Rock, D A Wood and M J Keeling. “Age- and bite-structured models for vector-borne diseases.” Epidemics (2015): 12, 20-29.

42. K S Rock, E A le Rutte, S J de Vlas, E R Adams, G F Medley and T D Hollingsworth. “Uniting mathematics and biology for control of visceral leishmaniasis.” Trends in Parasitology (2015), 251-259.

43. K S Rock, C M Stone, I M Hastings, M J Keeling, S J Torr and N Chitnis. “Mathematical Models of Human African Trypanosomiasis Epidemiology.” Advances in Parasitology 87 (2015): 53-133.

44. K S Rock, S Brand, J Moir and M J Keeling. “Dynamics of Infectious Diseases.” Reports on Progress in Physics 77(2) (2014): 026602.

45. K S Rock, M J Keeling and D A Wood. “Modelling the Future of the Hawaiian Honeycreeper: an Ecological and Epidemiological Problem.” Ecological Modelling 235 (2012): 26-35.

Pre-printed:

46. M Antillon, C Huang, S A Sutherland, R E Crump, R Snijders, P E. Brown, A Hope, P Bessell, I Tirados, M J Keeling, C Shampa, J Lebuki, E M Miaka, F Tediosi, K S Rock. “Cost-effectiveness analysis of end-game strategies against sleeping sickness in the Democratic Republic of Congo”. MedRxiv (2024)

47. J Looker, K S Rock and L Dyson. "Using COVID-19 data to investigate the use of early warning signed to identify peaks and areas of concern". MedRxiv (2025)