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Optimal stopping with nonlinear expectation: geometric and algorithmic solutions

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by John Moriarty (Queen Mary University of London)

Abstract: We use the geometry of functions associated with martingales under nonlinear expectations to solve risk-sensitive Markovian optimal stopping problems. Generalising the linear case due to Dynkin and Yushkievich (1969), the value function is the majorant or pointwise infimum of those functions which dominate the gain function. An emphasis is placed on the geometry of the majorant and pathwise arguments, rather than exploiting convexity, positive homogeneity or related analytical properties. An algorithm is provided to construct the value function at the computational cost of a two-dimensional search. The talk is based on the preprint https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.17623 (with Tomasz Kosmala).

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