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Environmental Modelling meets Infectious Diseases

LMS

We are delighted to announce the upcoming workshop Environmental Modelling meets Infectious Diseases: from Mathematics to Applications hosted at the University of Warwick, supported by the Centre for Research in Statistical Methodology (CRiSM), the London Mathematical Society, and the Environmental Statistics Section of the Royal Statistical Society.

CRiSM

Overview

The workshop aims to promote the transfer of methods and ideas between the environmental modelling and infectious disease modelling communities. By discussing the common mathematical challenges that underpin both subjects, we hope that attendees will gain new tools and perspectives to advance their own research.

The conference takes place from 16-17 April 2026 at the University of Warwick, in Coventry.

You can register for the conference at the registration page up to the 1st of April or until the event reaches capacity. Registration is free of charge.


Invited speakers

Marta Blangiardo
Prof. Marta Blangiardo

School of Public Health, Imperial College London

Hannah Christensen
Dr Hannah Christensen

Department of Physics, University of Oxford

Sophie Dabo-Niang
Prof. Sophie Dabo-Niang

University of Lille

Met Office
Dr William Thurston

Met Office

Claudio Fronterre
Dr Claudio Fronterre

University of Birmingham

Jill Johnson
Dr Jill Johnson

School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, University of Sheffield

TJ McKinley
Dr TJ McKinley

Clinical and Biomedical Sciences, University of Exeter

Ben Swallow
Dr Ben Swallow

University of St Andrews

Schedule

All events will take place in the Zeeman building. Details of how to find this are included on the Practicalities page.

Thursday 16 April (Modeling)

Location

Event

10:30-11:00

Zeeman "Street"

Arrival and coffee

11:00-11:45

MS.03

Hannah Christensen

From Equations to Emulators: AI in Earth-System ModellingLink opens in a new window

11:45-12:30

MS.03

Marta Blangiardo

Bayesian Models of Environmental and Climate Change Impact on Dengue Dynamics in BrazilLink opens in a new window

12:30-1:30

Zeeman "Street"

Lunch

1:30-2:15

MS.03

Samana Bano

MultiYear Bayesian Disaggregation of PolygonLevel InfectiousDisease Data with Satellite CovariatesLink opens in a new window

Olukemi Olowofoyeku

Disaggregation MaxEnt-based Nonlinear Regression Disease-Risk MappingLink opens in a new window

2:15-3:00

MS.03

Panel

3:00-3:30

Zeeman "Street"

Coffee

3:30-4:15

MS.03

Sophie Dabo-Niang

Modeling Multi-Pollutant Environmental Exposure Using a Spatio-Functional FrameworkLink opens in a new window

4:15-5:00

MS.03

William Thurston

Atmospheric dispersion modelling and its application to windborne pathogen spreadLink opens in a new window

5:00-6:00

Zeeman "Street"

Poster session

6:30   Dinner for speakers

Friday 17 April (Calibration)

   
9:00-9:45

MS.03

Ben Swallow

Statistical inference in dynamic environmental and infectious disease systems: common challenges in observation, statistics and computation?Link opens in a new window

9:45-10:30 MS.03

Jill Johnson

The statistical challenges in tackling persistent climate model uncertainty through model-observation comparisonsLink opens in a new window

10:30-11:00

Zeeman "Street"

Coffee
11:00-11:45 MS.03

Jonathan Owen

Bayesian History Matching and Uncertainty Analysis in Atmospheric ModellingLink opens in a new window

Aabid Anas & Miqdad Arrazi

Quasi-Bayes for spatio-temporal prediction: Weather forecasting to Stock market predictionLink opens in a new window

11:45-12:30 MS.03 Panel
12:30-1:30

Zeeman "Street"

Lunch
1:30-2:15 MS.03

Claudio Fronterre

Modelling Spatio-Temporal Variation in Neglected Tropical Disease Prevalence under Mass Drug Administration: A Geostatistical ApproachLink opens in a new window

2:15-3:00

MS.03

TJ McKinley

Efficient Bayesian modelling of infectious diseases in wildlife: an application to bovine tuberculosis in wild badgersLink opens in a new window

3:00-3:30

Zeeman "Street"

Closing remarks and coffee

Organisers

Emma Davis, Richard Everitt, John Fernley, Alicia Gill, Laura Mansfield, Jia Le Tan, Kathrin Schutrumpf.

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