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James Thornton: Differentiable Particle Filtering via Optimal Transport

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Particle Filtering (PF) methods are a powerful class of Monte Carlo procedures for performing state inference in state-space models and for computing likelihood estimates for fixed parameters. Resampling is a key ingredient of PF, necessary to obtain low variance likelihood estimates. However, resampling operations result in the simulated likelihood function being non-differentiable with respect to parameters, even if the true likelihood is itself differentiable. These resampling operations also yield high variance gradient estimates of the Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO) when performing variational inference. By leveraging Optimal Transport (OT) ideas, we introduce differentiable PF, providing a differentiable simulated likelihood function. This allows one to perform parameter estimation via maximization of the simulated likelihood using gradient techniques and to compute low variance gradient estimates for variational inference. We demonstrate the performance of differentiable PF on various examples.
In collaboration with Adrien Corenflos and Arnaud Doucet.

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