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Simulation Results

To verified the fitness of our model, we run several simulations and create intervals for the amount of infected schools per week.

Results are presented in the next table:

Summary of 10,000 simulations

From this we can conclude that our model at least was able to recover considerably well the final shape of the epidemic. Also, it kind of gets the right behavior at the beginning, but the amount of infected schools wasn't able to reach its highest value on weeks 4 or 5. Also, it was basically impossible to repliate the big drop off that ocurrs on week 9, which probably can be due to the fact that some schools were already closed because the term has already ended and the schools that remain open during week 9 are unlikely to have classes during the whole week.