Welcome to the News and Events page for the Department of Statistics.
Another election, another exit poll!
At the UK general election on 12 December the exit poll, which is commissioned jointly by broadcasters BBC, ITV and Sky, will again use the methods that were introduced in 2001 by Professor David Firth (in joint work with Professor John Curtice of the University of Strathclyde).
The new methods have led to renewed trust in exit polls, which since 2001 have been remarkably accurate in predicting House of Commons seat totals — a prediction made at 10pm on election day, immediately after polling stations close their doors.
David Firth says:
It's great to see the approach that I suggested and developed in 2001–2005 being used still in 2019. Its success is due mainly to purposeful statistical thinking in both the design and the analysis of the exit poll; and partly of course also to luck! But it could not succeed without, in addition, the work of a brilliant team of academics on the election day itself.
The election-day team analysing the 2019 exit poll will again be led by Sir John Curtice. The team's statistical expert has since 2010 been Professor Jouni Kuha (LSE) — a good friend of David Firth's since the 1990s. David says of this: "Perhaps the most remarkable thing, for me personally, is that Jouni can still manage to run the same R code that I threw together in haste before the 2005 election!"
For more information on the exit-poll method and its track record, see the Exit Poll Explainer page at warwick.ac.uk/exitpolling.
PhD Open Day
There will be a PhD Open Day on Wednesday 4 December, 2019 at the Department of Statistics, University of Warwick.
Follow the link below for further information:
MSc in Mathematical Finance for 2020 entry
MSc in Mathematical Finance launched to reflect the new financial instruments & markets, technological innovation and the changes in the regulatory framework, with a new focus on algorithmic computational methods, including machine learning, and financial mathematics.
Maths & Stats CDT
The Warwick Centre of Doctoral Training (CDT) in Mathematics and Statistics is an exciting new collaboration between the Mathematics Institute and the Department of Statistics. It has started its first year of operation in October 2019 and 8 out of 9 of our new intake of PhD students in Statistics now follow the programme, which consists of an intensive taught component and a four-month project in the first year. New students have an academic advisor to help them optimize their learning experience and preparation for the thesis research in the later years. A variety of social activities, workshops and research meetings will also enhance the cohort experience. More details can be found at https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/sci/statistics/postgrad/research/