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Mathematical modelling of behaviour to inform policy for societal challenges

Real-world systems are sensitive to human behaviour. Yet, we face general challenges in quantifying the impact of changes in human behaviour on system outcomes, due to a lack of readily translatable quantitative models that might predict the evolving adoption of these behaviours across individuals and/or populations, particularly in new social contexts.

Through this workshop, we would like to connect mathematicians/modellers/data-scientists/social scientists with a collective interest in improving behavioural realism in mathematical models. We will have involvement from Warwick experts across Mathematics, Statistics, Life Sciences and Warwick Business School Psychology, alongside external experts from academia, industry and policy-facing roles.

This event is being run with the support from MIR@W (Mathematical Interdisciplinary Research at Warwick) and the JUNIPER partnership.

Organisers: Ed HillLink opens in a new window (Mathematics Institute, University of Warwick); Martine BaronsLink opens in a new window (Department of Statistics, University of Warwick); Stephen Parnell Link opens in a new window(School of Life Sciences, University of Warwick); Kirsty BoltonLink opens in a new window (School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Nottingham); Emily NixonLink opens in a new window (Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Liverpool).

Date and place: Monday 10 June 2024, MS.05, 10:00-18:00

Confirmation of attendance registration form: https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/sci/maths/research/miraw/days/modellingbehaviour/registration/

Speakers: Details on confirmed speakers will be published here when available.

Invited speakers

  • David HawLink opens in a new window (Lecturer in Mathematics for Health, University of Liverpool) - Linking epidemiological and behavioural models in public health.
  • Anne KandlerLink opens in a new window (Senior Scientist, Department of Human Behavior, Ecology and Culture, Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology) - Applied mathematician interested in the underlying principles of cultural change especially in changing environmental conditions.
  • Ruth McCabeLink opens in a new window (Postdoctoral Researcher, Imperial College London) - Communication of modelling results to non-technical audiences.
  • Alice MilneLink opens in a new window (Senior Research Scientist - Agricultural Systems Modeller, Rothamsted Research) - Linking epidemiological and behavioural models in plant health.
  • Suzy MoatLink opens in a new window & Tobias PreisLink opens in a new window (Professors of Behavioural Science & Co-directors of the Data Science Lab, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick) - Measuring real world actions and events with online data.
  • Alex PennLink opens in a new window (Senior Research Fellow, CECAN, University of Surrey/Defra Systems Research Team) - A complexity scientist working on combining participatory methodologies and mathematical models to create tools for stakeholders to understand and “steer” their complex human ecosystems.
  • Kavita VedharaLink opens in a new window (Professor of Health Psychology, Cardiff University) - Health psychologist with expertise in the inter-relationships between psychological factors and health and disease outcomes.

Contributed talks presenters

  • Elaine FergusonLink opens in a new window(Research Associate, School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow) - Infectious disease ecologist working on modelling approaches to study the infectious disease dynamics of rabies.
  • Mark LynchLink opens in a new window (PhD student, Mathematics for Real-World Systems Centre for Doctoral Training, University of Warwick) - Research interests in applications of machine learning and neural networks to epidemiological models.
  • Luisa Fernanda Estrada PlataLink opens in a new window (MSc student, Mathematics for Real-World Systems Centre for Doctoral Training, University of Warwick) - Applied mathematician with research interests in behavioural science.
  • Matt RyanLink opens in a new window (CERC Postdoctoral Fellow, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation - CSIRO) - Applied mathematician exploring the interface of infectious disease modelling and behavioural science to define better "business-as-usual" forecasting models.
  • Fanqi ZengLink opens in a new window (Postdoctoral Researcher, Department of Sociology, University of Oxford) - Sociologist working on projects related to the study of global fake medicines trading and organised crime.

Talk titles and abstracts: https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/sci/maths/research/miraw/days/modellingbehaviour/talk_abstractsLink opens in a new window

Timetable:

09:30-10:00

Registration

10:00-10:15

Introduction

Organisers

10:15-10:35

Invited talk 1

Kavita Vedhara

10:35-10:45

Initial discussion

 

10:45-11:15

Break

11:15-11:45

Invited talk 2

Anne Kandler

11:45-12:15

Invited talk 3

Suzy Moat & Tobias Preis

12:15-12:45

Contributed talks

5 x 5 minute talks

12:45-14:00

Lunch

14:00-14:30

Invited talk 4

Alice Milne

14:30-15:00

Invited talk 5

David Haw

15:00-15:30

Break

15:30-16:00

Invited talk 6

Ruth McCabe

16:00-16:30

Invited talk 7

Alex Penn

16:30-17:00

Panel Discussion + Close

 

17:00-18:00

Drinks Reception