Latest Publications
Assessing the relationships between capability, opportunity, and motivation in influencing self-isolation behaviour during pandemics
Gbeminiyi J. Oyedele, Ankit Shanker, Michael J. Tildesley, Ivo Vlaev
Adherence to self-isolation was a central measure for controlling the spread of COVID-19; however, compliance varied widely. Understanding the behavioural determinants that drive adherence is critical for informing future public health intervention. This study applied the COM-B model to examine the associations between capability, opportunity, motivation, and self-isolation behaviour during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United Kingdom. A retrospective analysis was conducted using secondary data from the UK Office for National Statistics 2019 Opinions and Lifestyle Survey, which was not originally designed to measure COM-B constructs. Structural equation modelling (SEM) was used to examine the relationships between capability, opportunity, motivation, and self-isolation behaviour. Opportunity and motivation were significantly associated with self-isolation, while capability was linked to behaviour indirectly through its association with motivation, reflecting a possible pathway suggested by the structural model. Although some measurement indicators demonstrated lower reliability owing to the use of secondary data, the overall model fit was good (RMSEA = 0.049, CFI = 0.966, TLI = 0.944, SRMR = 0.040). These findings highlight the dominant influence of social and motivational factors in shaping adherence. This study demonstrates the utility of the COM-B model for understanding self-isolation behaviour despite the constraints of secondary data. The findings highlight opportunity and motivation as key levers for promoting adherence and offer actionable insights for policymakers to design interventions that enhance motivation, strengthen social support, and sustain compliance during future public health emergencies.
Variable temperature processing by plasmodesmata regulates robust bud dormancy release
Shashank K. Pandey, Tatiana S. Moraes, Aswin Nair, Bibek Aryal, Abdul Azeez, Pal Miskolczi, Guillaume Maucort, Fabrice P. Cordelières, Lysiane Brocard, Gwendolyn V. Davis, Hannah Dromiack, Swanand Khanapurkar, Sara I. Walker, George W. Bassel, Emmanuelle M. Bayer, Rishikesh P. Bhalerao
Dormancy is a key mechanism in perennial plants in boreal and temperate regions, protecting buds from winter damage by repressing precocious bud break before spring onset. How plants robustly time dormancy release under fluctuating environments remains unknown. Here, we show that, rather than simply sensing cold duration, buds leverage warm spikes to sense winter progression and time dormancy release. This timing mechanism is mediated by previously unrecognized regulation of plasmodesmata by warm spikes acting through tree ortholog of FLOWERING LOCUS T (FT1) and the gibberellic acid pathway. Our results reveal FT1 as a previously unrecognized, suppressor of callose levels and show that warm spikes repress cold induction of FT1 and GA pathway to suppress PD opening and dormancy release. Importantly, buds exhibit heterogeneity in bud break. This heterogeneity in bud break crucial for bet hedging is amplified under temperature fluctuations and is associated with the thermal responsiveness of plasmodesmata. Altogether, our work reveals dynamic plasmodesmata regulation as a crucial tissue-level mediator of variable temperature processing by buds, enabling robust adaptation of trees to seasonal changes.
The role of ducks in detecting Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza in small-scale backyard poultry farms
Steven Xingyu Wu, Christopher N. Davis,Mark Arnold, Michael J. Tildesley
Previous research efforts on highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza (HPAI) suggest that different avian species exhibit a varied severity of clinical signs after infection. Waterfowl, such as ducks or geese, can be asymptomatic and act as silent carriers of H5N1, making detection harder and increasing the risk of further transmission, potentially leading to significant economic losses. For backyard hobby farmers, passive reporting is a common HPAI detection strategy. We aim to develop a computational, mechanistic model to quantify the effectiveness of this strategy by simulating the spread of H5N1 in a mixed-species, small-population backyard flock. Quantities such as detection time and undetected burden of infection in various scenarios are compared. Our results indicate that the presence of ducks can lead to a higher risk of an outbreak and a higher burden of infection. If most ducks within a flock are resistant to H5N1, detection can be significantly delayed. We find that within-flock infection dynamics can heavily depend on the species composition in backyard farms. Ducks, in particular, can pose a higher risk of transmission within a flock or between flocks. Our findings can help inform surveillance and intervention strategies at the flock and local levels.
Inflammation modifies breathing phenotype in mice with epilepsy
Amol Mohan Bhandare, Adwoa Boaten, Dylan Dunkwu, Jade Hill, Biborka Balazs, Nicholas Dale
Impaired CO₂ responsiveness in epilepsy can result in hypoventilation and hypercapnia and these respiratory disturbances are key contributors to Sudden Unexpected Death in Epilepsy (SUDEP). While mild to moderate inflammation is known to modulate respiratory function, its specific role in regulating respiratory responses in the context of epilepsy remains unclear. We studied the effects of lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-induced inflammation and microglial inhibition via minocycline during the acute and chronic phases of epilepsy on hypercapnic ventilatory responses (HCVR) in the intrahippocampal kainic acid model of temporal lobe epilepsy in male C57BL/6 mice. LPS treatment during acute seizures and minocycline during spontaneous seizures in the chronic phase of epilepsy restored the impaired HCVR in mice. Notably, LPS treatment during acute seizures also reduced the frequency of spontaneous seizures. In contrast, minocycline given during acute seizures and LPS administered during chronic epilepsy further exacerbated HCVR impairment. Immunohistochemical analysis of chemosensitive retrotrapezoid nucleus (RTN) revealed varied effects of different treatments in epileptic mice on microglia density, morphology and their expression of triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2 (TREM2), P2Y12 receptor, and astrocytic adenosine 2A receptor (A2AR). Overall, the inflammation during epileptogenic or acute phase preserves HCVR and reduces spontaneous seizure frequency in chronic epilepsy, whereas in chronic phase it worsens HCVR. Although not yet fully validated, changes in microglial and astrocytic receptor expression could contribute to this HCVR impairment and may represent a mechanistic target for preserving HCVR in epilepsy; a dysfunction that could potentially lead to SUDEP.
Rapid local and systemic jasmonate signalling drives the initiation and establishment of plant systemic immunity
Trupti Gaikwad, Susan Breen, Emily Breeze, Erin Stroud, Rana Hussain, Satish Kulasekaran, Nestoras Kargios, Fay Bennett, Marta de Torres-Zabala, David Horsell, Lorenzo Frigerio, Pradeep Kachroo, Murray Grant
Successful recognition of pathogen effectors by plant disease resistance proteins, or effector-triggered immunity (ETI), contains the invading pathogen through localized hypersensitive cell death. ETI also activates long-range signalling to establish broad-spectrum systemic acquired resistance (SAR). Here we describe a sensitive luciferase (LUC) reporter that captures the spatial–temporal dynamics of SAR signal generation, propagation and establishment in systemic responding leaves following ETI. JASMONATE-INDUCED SYSTEMIC SIGNAL 1 (JISS1) encodes an endoplasmic-reticulum-localized protein of unknown function. JISS1::LUC captured very early ETI-elicited SAR signalling, which surprisingly was not affected by classical SAR mutants but was dependent on calcium and was also wound responsive. Both jasmonate biosynthesis and perception mutants abolished JISS1::LUC signalling and SAR to Pseudomonas syringae. Furthermore, we discovered that ETI initiated jasmonate-dependent systemic surface electrical potentials. These surface potentials were dependent on both glutamate receptors and JISS1, despite neither JISS1 loss-of-function nor glutamate receptor mutants altering SAR to Pseudomonas syringae. We thus demonstrate that jasmonate signalling, usually associated with antagonism of defence against biotrophs, is crucial to the rapid initiation and establishment of SAR systemic defence responses (including the activation of systemic surface potentials) and that JISS1::LUC serves as a reporter to further dissect these pathways.
A modelling assessment of the impact of control measures on highly pathogenic avian influenza transmission in poultry in Great Britain
Christopher N. Davis, Edward M. Hill, Chris P. Jewell, Kristyna Rysava, Robin N. Thompson, Michael J. Tildesley
Since 2020, large-scale outbreaks of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 in Great Britain have resulted in substantial poultry mortality and economic losses. Alongside the costs, the risk of circulation leading to a viral reassortment that causes zoonotic spillover raises additional concerns. However, the precise mechanisms driving transmission between poultry premises and the impact of potential control measures in Great Britain, such as vaccination, are not fully understood. We have developed a spatial transmission model for the spread of HPAI in poultry premises calibrated to infected premises data for the 2022–23 season using Markov chain Monte Carlo. Our results indicate that reducing the susceptibility of the premises surrounding an identified infected premises (for example, through enhanced biosecurity measures and/or vaccination) can substantially reduce the overall number of infected premises. Our findings highlight that enhanced control measures could limit the future impact of HPAI on the poultry industry and reduce the risk of broader health threats.