Development and History
Development and Economic History
Members of the Development and Economic History Research Group combine archival data, lab-in-the-field experiments, randomized controlled trials, text analysis, survey and secondary data along with theoretical tools to study issues in development and economic history. Faculty and students work in the field in South Asia, China and Africa as well as doing archival work in libraries across Europe and Asia.
Almost all faculty are members of CAGE in the economics department and some are also members of Warwick Interdisciplinary Centre for International Development (WICID). There is a regular weekly external seminar, two weekly internal workshops, and high quality research students. We also organise international conferences on campus, or in Venice.
Our activities
Development and Economic History Research Group Workshop/Seminar
Monday: 1.00-2.00pm
For faculty and PhD students at Warwick and other top-level academic institutions across the world. For a detailed scheduled of speakers please follow the link below.
Organisers: Bishnupriya Gupta and Claudia Rei
People
Academics
Academics associated with the Development and Economic History Research Group are:
Research Students
Events
CWIP Workshop - Peter Lambert (Warwick)
Title: The Aggregate Consequences of Default Risk: Evidence from Firm-level Data
Authors: Tim Besley, Peter John Lambert, Isabelle Roland, John Van Reenen
Abstract: We examine the impact of firm-level default risk on aggregate economic performance. First, we develop a micro-to-macro model, and show that firms' perceived default risk serves as a sufficient statistic for credit frictions. We next use this model to quantify the impact of credit frictions, leveraging administrative data on the population of UK employer firms, augmented with a measure of default risk from S&Ps widely used algorithm. Between 2004-2019, credit frictions reduce aggregate output by up to 27%. This output gap due to frictions grew post-financial crisis and again after the Brexit vote. We compare partial and general equilibrium impacts, showing that approaches that abstract equilibrium wage rises significantly over-estimate output gains. Finally, reduced frictions and higher wages create both winners and losers across industries and firm-size groups, highlighting the redistributive role of the uneven access to credit.