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Forecasting the future of work: the ISABEL framework

The Warwick Institute for Employment Research (IER) is a key partner in ISABEL, a pioneering Horizon Europe project dedicated to managing labour market shifts triggered by the green and digital transitions. Running from November 2024 to November 2027, the project utilises AI-powered analytics to minimise the costs and maximise the benefits of job creation and destruction. Led by Dr Sangwoo LeeLink opens in a new window, the IER team, including Dr Gianni Anelli-LopezLink opens in a new window, Prof Derek BosworthLink opens in a new window, Luke BosworthLink opens in a new window, and Rosie DayLink opens in a new window, is developing robust forecasting methodologies.

By leveraging advanced global databases such as Ovate (job vacancies) and Overton (policy influence), the team is bridging high-level data with local stakeholder insights through the UK Living Lab. This work will produce a central forecasting workbook to help policymakers design evidence-based strategies for a socially fair and economically sustainable transition across the UK and Europe. You can find more information on the project webpage.

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