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Session 2: Speakers

Nicolas Tremblay-Côté is the Chief, Occupational Projections (also known as Canadian Occupational Projection System - COPS) in the Labour Market Research and Forecasting Unit at Human Resources and Skills Development Canada. Since 2000, Mr. Tremblay-Côté occupied various functions related to the COPS Model and has been responsible of different components of the Model , such as the replacement demand, expansion demand, industrial projections and current and future labour market conditions by occupation. His research focus has been on industrial and occupational labour market trends, accuracy of COPS projections as well as retirement issues. He currently leads the occupational projection process and improvement to the COPS Model. Mr. Tremblay-Côté holds a Master's Degree in Economics from the Université du Québec à Montréal (Québec, Canada), with a specialization in macro-econometrics.

Luke Ignaczak is a Senior Research Advisor in the Labour Market Research and Forecasting Unit at Human Resources and Skills Development Canada. He started his career as an economist in the Economic Forecasting Group at Informatrica Limited before joining HRSDC to work with the Canadian Occupational Projection System. Luke's previous research has focused largely on enrolment and graduation trends as well as retirement issues. He is currently engaged in work on labour force participation, occupational mobility and evaluating the overall conceptual framework underpinning the COPS National Model. Luke holds a Master's degree in economics from Queen's University (Kingston, Ontario) and is currently completing his PhD dissertation at Carleton University in Ottawa.

Michael Kalinowski accomplished his Master-Studies in Economics at the University of Regensburg in 2006. In his Master-Thesis he empirically analyzed the poaching phenomena in the labour market in the region of Nuremberg (Bavaria) in order to determine industrial clusters. In 2007 he joined as scientist the research group MikMod at the Fraunhofer Institute for Applied Information Technology, which is a leading innovator in the field of economic simulation models and on this basis consults a number of federal ministries in Germany. Michael’s research interests focus on education and labour market policy including projection of the future qualification and occupation structure of the population and labour work force. In 2010 he published the latest results of the Fraunhofer FIT labour supply model (Kalinowski/Quinke 2010). In the past two years he worked on the qualification structure of migrants and its influence on the German labour market. Furthermore, he carried out analyses about transitions in the educational system. These research projects were generally conducted for the Federal Ministry of Education and Research and the Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs.

Labour market related work:

  • Kalinowski, Michael.; Quinke, Hermann (2010): Projektion des Arbeitskräfteangebots bis 2025 nach Qualifikationsstufen und Berufsfeldern; in Helmrich, R. und Zika, G. (Hrsg.) (2010): Beruf und Qualifikation in der Zukunft, Bonn.
  • Kalinowski, Michael.; Hänisch, Carsten (2010): Ausbildung, Berufswechsel, Migration: Übergänge im Arbeitsangebot und Implikationen für die Belastbarkeit mikrozensusbasierter Projektionen zum künftigen Arbeitskräfteangebot. (unpublished)
  • Kalinowski, Michael.; Hänisch, Carsten (2011): Übergang an erster Schwelle: von der schulischen Bildung in die berufliche und hochschulische Ausbildung. (unpublished)

Carsten Hänisch studied economics at the Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhems Universiät in Bonn and received his diploma in 2007. During this time, his main interests were econometrics and microeconomic theory. He wrote his diploma thesis about decision making under uncertainty. In 2007 he started his PhD studies in Bonn. In 2009 he joined the micro simulation group MikMod at the Institute for Applied Information Technology FIT, which develops innovative economic simulation models for more than thirty years. His main fields of expertise are quantitative analyses of changes in family policy (mainly for the German Federal Ministry for Family Affairs, Senior Citizens, Women and Youth) and research about the labour market. One of Carsten’s major projects was a study about the qualification structure of migrants and their influence on the German labour market. He also carried out analyses about transitions in the educational system. These studies were generally conducted for the Federal Ministry of Education and Research and the Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs.

Labour market related work:

  • Kalinowski, Michael.; Hänisch, Carsten (2010): Ausbildung, Berufswechsel, Migration: Übergänge im Arbeitsangebot und Implikationen für die Belastbarkeit mikrozensusbasierter Projektionen zum künftigen Arbeitskräfteangebot. (unpublished)
  • Kalinowski, Michael.; Hänisch, Carsten (2011): Übergang an erster Schwelle: von der schulischen Bildung in die berufliche und hochschulische Ausbildung. (unpublished)