Political Economy and Public Economics

Title: The Peace Dividend of International Trade: A New Empirical Approach

Title: Battles and Spoils: Evidence from the British Museum.

Title: Brainrot? The Effect Of Short-Form Content on Long-Form Attention.

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Title: 'Simultaneous Location Games with Entry Deterrence (with Gerd Muehlheusser - University of Hamburg)

Abstract: We study location games with entry in which, on the equilibrium path, all entry occurs simultaneously, yet all locations deter entry. For quasiconcave densities, we characterize the equilibrium locations. Without quasiconcavity, we provide sufficient conditions for the game can be dissectable into part-games, each of which exhibits a quasiconcave density and can be solved independently. Extensions and applications analyze abstention (extensive margins), vertical differentiations, and different sources of polarization. Formally, these location games have many players who decide whether to enter in the first stage simultaneously and one player who can enter in stage two. All players bear the same fixed cost of entry and choose a location upon entry.

Title: From Registration to Representation: Mobilising Women Voters and Politicians in India - with Pamela Campa (SITE, SSE) and Jonathan Lehne (SITE, SSE)

Abstract: Women remain underrepresented among political leaders and, in some contexts, also among voters, raising the possibility of feedback loops between different forms of political participation. In this project, we examine whether exposure to different types of female politicians increases women's political participation, both as voters and as political candidates. We study this question in India, the world's largest democracy, where women remain underrepresented in higher-level politics, while affirmative action ensures female representation at the local level. We assemble a novel dataset from Uttar Pradesh, India, combining administrative data across election types and electoral cycles, including information on 140 million individual voters, 500,000 local political candidates, and turnout and electoral outcomes across 150,000 polling stations. The richness of the data allows us to make three contributions to the literature. First, we distinguish women's decisions to register to vote from their decisions to turn out. Second, we study the effect of women's political candidacy rather than their electoral victories. Third, we compare the effects of different types of female politicians within the same setting. We employ three identification strategies that exploit plausibly exogenous variation in exposure to female politicians. Our findings highlight how the effects of female political representation depend on the pathways through which women enter politics, shedding light on the potential for self-reinforcing dynamics in women's political participation.

Title: Compatible Explanations.

Title: Where the Grass Seems Greener:  Economic Misperceptions and Support for Democracy (joint with Daron Acemoglu, Guillermo Cruces, Martin Fiszbein, Gaston Garcia Zavaleta & Carlos Molina).

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Title: Don't (fully) exclude me, it's not necessary! Causal inference with semi-IVs (https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.12667)

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Title: The Politics of Social Security in Aging Societies (co-authored with Manuel Macera)

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