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Economics CAGE Research Centre

Policy Briefings

    The Costs and Benefits of the Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation

    Johannes Brinkmann, Nikhil Datta

    Who would be affected by Capital Gains Tax reform?

    40/2024 Arun Advani, Andrew Lonsdale and Andy Summers

    Beyond the Energy Price Guarantee. With or without?

    39/2022 Thiemo Fetzer

    Reforming the non-dom regime: revenue estimates

    38/2022 Arun Advani, David Burgherr and Andy Summers

    Who are the super-rich? The wealth and connections of the Sunday Times Rich List

    37/2022 Arun Advani, Andy Summers and Hannah Tarrant

    The UK’s ‘non-doms’: Who are they, what do they do, and where do they live?

    36/2022 Arun Advani David Burgherr Mike Savage Andy Summers

    US Presidential Party switches are mirrored in global maternal mortality

    35/2022 Sonia Bhalotra, Damian Clarke, Hanna Mühlrad and Manuel Fernández Sierra

    Domestic violence: the potential role of job loss and unemployment benefits

    34/2021 Sonia Bhalotra, Diogo Britto, Paolo Pinotti and Breno Sampaio

    Fixing National Insurance: A better way to fund social care

    33/2021 Arun Advani, Helen Hughson, Andy Summers and Hannah Tarrant

    Remote work and the post-pandemic UK labour market

    32/2021 Mirko Draca, Emma Duchini, Roland Rathelot and Giulia Vattuone

    Do police reduce crime? Evidence from the 1829 introduction of the London Metropolitan Police

    31/2021 Anna Bindler and Randi Hjalmarsson

    Learning about the effectiveness of contact tracing from when it failed – a natural experiment

    30/2020 Thiemo Fetzer and Thomas Graeber

    How to get to Denmark: an assessment of Denmark as an economic model for developing countries

    29/2020 Markus Lampe and Paul Sharp

    How to keep up well-being during the COVID-19 Pandemic? Advice from the World Well-being Panel

    28/2020 Tony Beatton, Ada Ferrer-i-Carbonell, Paul Frijters, Arthur Grimes and Eugenio Proto

    How much tax do the rich really pay? New evidence from tax microdata in the UK

    27/2020 Arun Advani and Andy Summers

    How are workers searching for jobs during the COVID-19 crisis?

    26/2020 Lena Hensvik, Thomas Le Barbanchon and Roland Rathelot

    COVID-19: Six lessons for international trade

    25/2020 Dennis Novy

    Age, death risk, and the design of an exit strategy: A guide for policymakers and for citizens who want to stay alive

    24/2020 Andrew Oswald and Nattavudh Powthavee

    Update on estimating the forecasting COVID-19 outbreak in the UK

    23/2020 Roberto Pancrazi

    Indian migrants caught in the lockdown: How many will return? Where will they come from? Where will they return to?

    22/2020 Clement Imbert

    India's Lockdown

    21/2020 Debraj Ray, S Subramanian and Lore Vandewalle

    Estimating and forecasting COVID-19 evolution in the UK and its regions

    20/2020 Roberto Pancrazi

    Capital Gains and UK Inequality: new evidence from tax microdata

    19/2020 Arun Advani and Andy Summers

    The case for releasing the young from lockdown: A briefing paper for policymakers

    18/2020 Andrew Oswald and Nattavudh Powdthavee

    Driving change in the bus market: lessons from London

    Mike Waterson, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 17, December 2019

    Anarchy in the UK (and Everywhere Else): The Ideological Roots of Populism

    Mirko Draca and Carlo Schwarz, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 16, September 2019

    Discrimination in hiring based on potential and realised fertility: A field experiment

    Sascha O. Becker, Ana Fernandes and Doris Weichselbaumer, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 99, June 2019

    Advertising as a major source of human dissatisfaction: Cross-national evidence on one million Europeans

    Chloé Michel, Michelle Sovinsky, Eugenio Proto and Andrew Oswald, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 98, May 2019

    Tariffs and politics: Evidence from Trump’s trade wars

    Thiemo Fetzer and Carlo Schwarz, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 97, April 2019

    Austerity caused Brexit

    Thiemo Fetzer, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 96, April 2019

    Voting with their money: Brexit and outward investment by UK firms

    Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 95, February 2019

    Brexit: Blame it on the banking crisis

    Nicholas Crafts, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 94, January 2019

    The economic effects of Brexit: Evidence from the stock market

    Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy, Thomas Sampson and Ahmed Usman, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 93, October 2018

    Currency unions mean more trade, but not for everyone

    Natalie Chen and Dennis Novy, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 92, July 2018

    New eBook: The economics of the Great War: A centennial perspective

    Stephen Broadberry and Mark Harrison, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 91, November 2018

    Politics in the Facebook era: How reading political ads on Facebook affects our voting behaviour (…and helped Trump to win the presidential election)

    Federica Liberini, Michela Redoano, Antonio Russo, Angel Cuevas Rumin and Ruben Cuevas Rumin, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 90, November 2018

    Uncollected tax revenue - who is underpaying and what we should do about it

    Arun Advani, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 15, June 2019

    Austerity, Immigration or Globalisation: Was Brexit predictable?

    Thiemo Fetzer, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 14, November 2018

    The UK’s ‘productivity crisis’: Why weakening the link between education and family background could help solve it

    Claire Crawford, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 13, October 2018

    Productivity takes 'Leave'? The effect of maternity and paternity leave policy on our lives and the economy

    The CAGE-Warwick in Brussels Series, No. 4, 11th July 2018

    Judge, Jury, and EXEcute file: The Brave New World of Legal Automation

    Elliot Ash, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 12, June 2018

    The importance of frontier knowledge for the generation of ideas

    Alessandro Iaria, Carlo Schwarz and Fabian Waldinger, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 89, January 2018

    Economists relaxed about Bitcoin: New CFM-CEPR expert survey on cryptocurrencies, the financial system, and economic policy

    Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 88, December 2017

    Moving around: The changing geography of US manufacturing during the 20th century

    Nicholas Crafts and Alex Klein, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 87, December 2017

    The Soviet economy, 1917-1991: Its life and afterlife

    Mark Harrison, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 86, November 2017

    Brexit was a cry of financial pain and not the influence of the old

    Federica Liberini, Andrew Oswald, Eugenio Proto and Michela Redoano, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 85, October 2017

    Global risks from rising debt and asset prices: Views of leading economists

    Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon and Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 84, October 2017

    The midlife low in human beings

    David Blanchflower and Andrew Oswald, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 83, September 2017

    Unemployment insurance and reservation wages

    Thomas Le Barbanchon, Roland Rathelot and Alexandra Roulet, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 82, June 2017

    The Bank of England, interest rates and the UK economy

    Michael McMahon, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 11, November 2017

    The role of lobbying in political decision making

    The CAGE-Warwick in Brussels Series, No. 3, September 2017

    A new bargaining perspective on sovereign debt restructuring

    Marcus Miller, Sayantan Ghosal, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 81, September 2017

    The implications of Brexit for the City

    Michael McMahon, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 80, September 2017

    Short-term migration, rural workfare programmes, and urban labour markets

    Clément Imbert, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 79, September 2017

    Environmental economic history

    James Fenske, Namrata Kala, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 78, September 2017

    Electoral accountability and the natural resource curse

    Amrita Dhillon, Pramila Krishnan, Manasa Patnam, Carlo Perroni, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 77, September 2017

    UK industrial strategy: Views of economists on its desirability and prospects for success

    Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 76, September 2017

    The future of central bank independence: Results of the CFM–CEPR Survey

    Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 75, September 2017

    The danger of Germany's current account surpluses: Results of the CFM and CEPR Survey

    Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 74, September 2017

    Happiness and wellbeing as objectives of macroeconomic policy: Views of economists

    Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 73, September 2017

    German Council of Economic Experts’ view of ECB policy: Results of the CFM–CEPR Survey

    Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 72, September 2017

    Flexible labour markets, real wages, and economic recoveries: Views of economists

    Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 71, September 2017

    Brexit: The potential for a financial catastrophe and long-term consequences for the UK financial sector

    Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 70, September 2017

    Brexit and the economics profession: Are academic economists out of touch with voters and politicians?

    Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 69, September 2017

    Economic models vs ‘techno-optimism’: Predicting medium-term total factor productivity rates in the US

    Nicholas Crafts, Terence Mills, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 68, September 2017

    Brexit: Lessons from history

    Nicholas Crafts, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 67, September 2017

    Brexit: A new industrial strategy and rules on state aid

    Nicholas Crafts, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 66, September 2017

    Growing, shrinking, and long-run economic performance

    Stephen Broadberry, John Joseph Wallis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 65, September 2017

    The fundamental factors behind the Brexit vote

    Sascha O. Becker, Thiemo Fetzer, Dennis Novy, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 64, September 2017

    Happy voters (or why it's not always the economy, stupid)

    Eugenio Proto, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 10, May 2017

    Let's stay together? Combating discrimination on Airbnb

    Roland Rathelot, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 9, December 2016

    Are bad business practices holding back small firms in developing countries?

    David McKenzie, Christopher Woodruff, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 63, July 2016

    Efficiency and welfare costs of VAT: Evidence from VAT notches

    Li Liu, Ben Lockwood, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 62, July 2016

    US cities and productivity in the railroad era

    Nicholas Crafts, Alex Klein, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 61, July 2016

    Historical analysis of national subjective wellbeing using millions of digitised books: Introducing the HPS Index

    Thomas Hills, Eugenio Proto, Daniel Sgroi, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 60, July 2016

    Estimating border effects in international trade: User beware

    Cletus C. Coughlin, Dennis Novy, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 59, July 2016

    The political economy of liberal democracy

    Sharun Mukand, Dani Rodrik, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 58, July 2016

    Cereals, appropriability, and hierarchy

    Joram Mayshar, Omer Moav, Zvika Neeman, Luigi Pascali, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 57, July 2016

    Farewell to the vultures? Argentine debt restructuring and bargaining theory

    Marcus Miller, Sayantan Ghosal, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 56, July 2016

    The nature and effectiveness of central-bank communication

    Stephen Hansen, Michael McMahon, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 55, July 2016

    The future role of unconventional monetary policy: CFM Survey results

    Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 54, July 2016

    Taxing the foreign profits of multinational firms

    Michael P. Devereux, Clemens Fuest, Ben Lockwood, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 53, July 2016

    Onwards and upwards: American productivity growth during the Great Depression

    Gerben Bakker, Nicholas Crafts, Pieter Woltjer, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 52, July 2016

    The prices of higher quality goods respond less to exchange-rate movements

    Natalie Chen, Luciana Juvenal, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 51, January 2014

    The UK's new National Living Wage: Likely impact on employment, wages, and prices

    Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 50, July 2016

    The Brexit question will increase financial market volatility

    Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 49, July 2016

    Market volatility: More likely ‘noise’ than reason for concern

    Wouter den Haan, Martin Ellison, Ethan Ilzetzki, Michael McMahon, Ricardo Reis, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 48, July 2016

    Japan and the Great Divergence, 725 to 1874

    Jean-Pascal Bassino, Stephen Broadberry, Kyoji Fukao, Bishnupriya Gupta, Masanori Takashima, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 47, July 2016

    Trade and tasks over three decades

    Sascha O. Becker, Marc Muendler, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 46, July 2016

    Make or Break: The Long Run Consequences of High-Stakes Exams

    Victor Lavy, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 8 June 2016

    Argentina, Debt Relief, and Vultures What are the lessons for Europe?

    Marcus Miller, The CAGE-Warwick in Brussels Series, No. 2, May 2016

    The Growth Effects of EU Membership for the UK: Review of the evidence

    Nicholas Crafts, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 7, April 2016

    It's Prices, Stupid: Explaining falling crime in the UK

    Mirko Draca, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 6, February 2016

    Is Secular Stagnation the Future of the Eurozone?

    Nicholas Crafts, The CAGE-Warwick in Brussels Series No. 1, March 2015

    Opportunities and challenges in fostering growth in the EU

    Nicholas Crafts, Sascha Becker and Vera Troeger, The Brussels Podium Series, April 2015

    Designing A Central Bank For The 21st Century Eurozone

    Professor Kris Mitchener and Dr Michael McMahon, The Brussels Podium Series, 10 February 2014

    Insights into Enterprise in Developing Countries

    Dr Rocco Macchiavello and Professor Chris Woodruff, The Brussels Podium Series, 2 December 2013

    The Skills Gap: Is It a Myth?

    Thijs Van Rens, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 5, December 2015

    Happiness and productivity: Understanding the happy-productive worker

    Daniel Sgroi, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 4, Oct 2015

    Doorstep banking in rural Sri Lanka increases customer savings...and income

    Christopher Woodruff, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 45, August 2015

    Happiness and voting

    Eugenio Proto, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 44, August 2015

    GDP and life satisfaction: New evidence

    Eugenio Proto, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 43, August 2015

    The midlife crisis in humans and other apes

    Andrew Oswald, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 42, August 2015

    High home ownership as a driver of high unemployment

    Andrew Oswald, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 41, August 2015

    Money makes people right-wing and inegalitarian

    Andrew Oswald, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 40, August 2015

    Uncertainty and the Great Trade Collapse: New evidence

    Dennis Novy, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 39, August 2015

    TTIP: Is free trade coming to the north Atlantic?

    Dennis Novy, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 38, August 2015

    Saving the euro: self-fulfilling crisis and the 'Draghi put'

    Marcus Miller, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 37, August 2015

    To exit the Great Recession, central banks must adapt their policies and models

    Marcus Miller, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 36, August 2015

    Outright Monetary Transactions sterilised?

    Michael McMahon, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 35, August 2015

    Could Obama buy Ohio votes?

    Michael McMahon, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 34, August 2015

    Mark Carney and first impressions in monetary policy

    Michael McMahon, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 33, August 2015

    Central bank transparency and committee deliberation

    Michael McMahon, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 32, August 2015

    Costing secrecy

    Mark Harrison, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 31, August 2015

    Four myths about the Great War of 1914-1918

    Mark Harrison, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 30, August 2015

    Escaping liquidity traps: Lessons from the UK's 1930s escape

    Nicholas Crafts, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 29, August 2015

    Competing successfully in a globalising world: Lessons from Lancashire

    Nicholas Crafts, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 28, August 2015

    The Eurozone: If only it were the 1930s

    Nicholas Crafts, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 27, August 2015

    Walking wounded: The British economy in the aftermath of World War I

    Nicholas Crafts, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 26, August 2015

    The prices of higher quality goods respond less to exchange-rate movements

    Natalie Chen, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 25, August 2015

    Accounting for the great divergence

    Stephen Broadberry, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 24, August 2015

    World War I: Why the Allies won

    Stephen Broadberry, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 23, August 2015

    Do entrepreneurs matter?

    Sascha O. Becker, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 22, August 2015

    Regional transfers in Europe: Do we need fewer of them or different ones?

    Sascha O. Becker, The CAGE Background Briefing Series No. 21, August 2015

    Can India grow faster? Answers from history

    Tirthankar Roy, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 3, July 2015

    The Challenge of Antimicrobial Resistance: Lessons from the Past for the Present and the Future

    Cormac Ó Gráda, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 2, April 2015

    Institutional Corruption? The revolving door in American and British politics

    Mirko Draca, SMF-CAGE Global Perspectives Series: Paper 1, October 2014

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